ecological changes resulting from climate conditions can severely affect human societies especially in the area of economy and safety. climate catastrophes may cause social and economic tension. forecasting such changes accurately can help the government to control the disasters and to achieve possible benefits (such as water supply in flood). weather forecasting is the application of science a...

In this paper, we consider the tracking of mobile terminals based on the received signal strength (RSS) measured from several base stations. The spatial correlation of the random shadowing is exploited in order to improve the position tracking. We define an auto-regressive (AR) model of the temporal evolution of the shadowing. This model allows for performing a joint tracking of the position an...

Speech synthesizers based on paramedic methods, still have not achieved the expected naturalness. This is due to less consideration on linear time variant nature between the neighbor phonemes. This paper presents a study to model the phoneme transitions between neighbor phonemes with lesser number of parameters using Auto Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) model, where Steiglitz-McBride algorithm...

in general, energy prices, such as those of crude oil, are affected by deterministic events such as seasonal changes as well as non-deterministic events such as geopolitical events. it is the non-deterministic events which cause the prices to vary randomly and makes price prediction a difficult task. one could argue that these random changes act like noise which effects the deterministic variat...

A non-linear Auto-Regressive Exogenous-input model (NARXM) river flow forecasting output-updating procedure is presented. This updating procedure is based on the structure of a multi-layer neural network. The NARXM-neural network updating procedure is tested using the daily discharge forecasts of the soil moisture accounting and routing (SMAR) conceptual model operating on five catchments havin...

This paper proposes an adaptive color-guided auto-regressive (AR) model for high quality depth recovery from low quality measurements captured by depth cameras. We formulate the depth recovery task into a minimization of AR prediction errors subject to measurement consistency. The AR predictor for each pixel is constructed according to both the local correlation in the initial depth map and the...