This paper investigates the forecasting ability of five different versions of GARCH models. The five GARCH models applied are bivariate GARCH, GARCH-ECM, BEKK GARCH, GARCH-X and GARCH-GJR. Forecast errors based on four emerging stock futures portfolio return (based on forecasted hedge ratio) forecasts are employed to evaluate out-ofsample forecasting ability of the five GARCH models. Daily data...

This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of time-varying hedge ratios in the agricultural commodities futures markets based on four different versions of the GARCH models. The GARCH models applied are the standard bivariate GARCH, the bivariate BEKK GARCH, the bivariate GARCH-X and the bivariate BEKK GARCH-X. The GARCH-X and the BEKK GARCH-X models are uniquely different from the other...

This paper was aimed at investigating the volatility and conditional relationship among inflation rates, exchange rates and interest rates as well as to construct a model using multivariate GARCH DCC and BEKK models using Ghana data from January 1990 to December 2013. The study revealed that the cumulative depreciation of the cedi to the US dollar from 1990 to 2013 is 7,010.2% and the yearly we...

Tests of causality in variance in multiple time series have been proposed recently, based on residuals of estimated univariate models. Although such tests are applied frequently little is known about their power properties. In this paper we show that a convenient alternative to residual based testing is to specify a multivariate volatility model, such as multivariate GARCH (or BEKK), and constr...

Com a utilização de dados diários do retorno das ações, da cotação Dólar e índice Ibovespa, durante o período 2010 até 2020, este estudo apresenta os resultados dos transbordamentos volatilidades no mercado ações Brasil, com correlações condicionais. A construção retornos representativos pela Análise Componentes Principais, tradicional robusto se mostraram mais adequadas em relação à Principais...

This paper derives the statistical properties of a two-step approach to estimating multivariate rotated GARCH-BEKK (RBEKK) models. From definition RBEKK, unconditional covariance matrix is estimated in first step rotate observed variables order have identity for its sample matrix. In second step, remaining parameters are by maximizing quasi-log-likelihood function. For this quasi-maximum likeli...

Motivated by recent developments in light of the sub-prime and subsequent financial crisis we fit two different vector autoregressive generalized conditional heteroscedastic (VAR-GARCH) models to three financial indices with the aim of understanding the development of dependency structures between credit spreads and other macroeconomic variables. Our analysis includes daily quotes from June 200...

This paper investigates the extent of volatility or risk spillovers between currency carry trade and asset markets, namely equity bond in South Africa to infer connectivity two markets. The operation examined this involves strategies, both which use African rand as investment currency, with U.S. dollar Japanese yen funding currencies. vector autoregressive BEKK-Generalised Autoregressive Condit...