In this paper, employing VAR and factor analytic models with quarterly U.K. sectoral business investment data, we show that both common and sector–specific shocks play important roles in explaining business investment fluctuations. JEL: C32, E22, E32.

The development of the financial system is shown, both historically and in contemporary data, to be adversely affected by inequality in the distribution of land. To accommodate these empirical findings, a theory is developed that highlights the incentives of landowners to oppose competition in the financial sector. The theory provides an explanation for the co-incident development of the financ...

This paper uses a measure of skill mismatch to separate wage flexibility from confounding variation in wages driven by differences job quality over the business cycle. I first show that high cyclicality switchers' goes beyond cyclical movements mismatch. Then uncover large across distribution. Among incumbent workers, are acyclical good matches but procyclical poor matches, particular for overq...

Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does type matter? We propose novel SVAR identification strategy address these questions via inequality constraints on structural shocks. find that sharply higher macroeconomic recessions often output shocks, while financial markets likely fluctuations. (JEL D81...

I analyze an extension of the New Keynesian model that features overlapping generations finitely lived agents and (stochastic) transitions to inactivity. In contrast with standard model, proposed framework allows for existence rational expectations equilibria asset price bubbles. study conditions under which bubble-driven fluctuations may emerge type monetary policy rules prevent them. conclude...

The responsiveness of house prices to monetary policy shocks depends on the nature shock—expansionary versus contractionary—and local housing supply elasticities. These findings are established using a panel 263 US metropolitan areas. Expansionary have larger impact in supply-inelastic Contractionary orthogonal In supply-elastic areas, contractionary greater than expansionary do. opposite holds...

We use time series techniques to estimate the importance of four main explanations for decline US labor income share: rising firm markups, falling bargaining power workers, higher investment-specific technology growth, and more automated production processes. Identification is achieved with restrictions derived from a stylized model structural change. Our results point automation as driver shar...

Using data on the universe of housing transactions in England and Wales over a 20-year period, we document that sale prices selling propensities are affected by house prevailing period which properties were previously bought. administrative mortgages, show cognitive frictions explain most history dependence prices, whereas credit more relevant for propensities. We corroborate our analysis with ...

We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in context frictions financial markets. document two new facts. First, a shock to future generates significant decline credit spread indicators along with robust improvement supply indicators. Second, we establish tight link between and that explain majority un-forecastable movements A DSGE model enriched sector Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type very...