Conditions for approximate frequentist validity of posterior credible sets based on the score statistic have been derived in the multiparameter case. These conditions can be helpful in supplementing similar conditions obtainable through the likelihood ratio statistic and the highest posterior density region. In the process, explicit expressions are given for the posterior quantiles of the score...

Huitema and McKean (Psychological Bulletin, 110, 291-304, 1991) recently showed, in a Monte-Carlo study, that five conventional estimators of first-order autocorrelation perform poorly for small (< 50) sample sizes. They suggested a modified estimator and a test for autocorrelation. We examine an estimator not considered by Huitema and McKean: the C-statistic (Young, Annals of Mathematical Stat...

In a recent article Jennrich and Satorra (Psychometrika 78: 545-552, 2013) showed that a proof by Browne (British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology 37: 62-83, 1984) of the asymptotic distribution of a goodness of fit test statistic is incomplete because it fails to prove that the orthogonal component function employed is continuous. Jennrich and Satorra (Psychometrika 78: 545-5...

This paper reports an experiment designed to detect the influence of strategic uncertainty on behavior in order statistic coordination games, which arise when a player’s best response is an order statistic of the cohort’s action combination. Unlike previous experiments using order statistic coordination games, the new experiment holds the payoff function constant and only changes cohort size an...

In this study, seismic activity trend of lower reaches of Yangtze River – Yellow Sea (Y-Y) seismic belt during 2011-2020 is predicted based on statistic analysis of historical earthquake data and seismic activity analysis of recent mid-strong earthquakes occurred in this area. Three potential seismic risk zones are indicated where the destructive earthquakes might occur which will cause damages...