نتایج جستجو برای: wind uncertainty

تعداد نتایج: 203470  

2016
S. Surender Reddy

This paper proposes an efficient optimization approach to determine the optimal placement and size of Static VAR Compensator (SVC) in a hybrid power system. The hybrid power system consists of conventional thermal generators, wind farms and solar photovoltaic (PV) modules. In this paper, the optimal placement and size of SVC is determined by considering the voltage deviations minimizations and ...

Journal: :CoRR 2017
You Lin Ming Yang Can Wan Jianhui Wang Yong-Hua Song

 Abstract—Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would be difficult to develop a universal forecasting model dominating over other alternative models. Therefore, a novel multi-model combination (MMC) ap...

2016
Cengiz Kahraman Basar Oztaysi

Abstract: One of the tools for maintaining environmental sustainability is transformation from fossil-based energy sources to renewable energy sources in energy consumption. Among renewable energy alternatives, wind energy is the most prominent and reliable energy source for fulfilling energy demand. Traditional investment evaluation techniques based on discounted cash flows are not capable of ...

2017
Germán Morales-España Benjamin F. Hobbs

Approximations made in day-ahead markets can result in suboptimal or even infeasible schedules for generating units and inaccurate predictions of actual costs and wind curtailment. Here we compare different optimal models of day-ahead markets based on unit commitment (UC) formulations, especially energyvs. power-based UC; excluding or including startup and shutdown trajectories; and determinist...

2014
Haoran Zhao Qiuwei Wu Shuju Hu Honghua Xu

With the rapid growth of wind energy development and increasing wind power penetration level, it will be a big challenge to operate the power system with high wind power penetration securely and reliably due to the inherent variability and uncertainty of wind power. With the flexible charging–discharging characteristics, Energy Storage System (ESS) is considered as an effective tool to enhance ...

2014
Cosmin G. Petra Victor M. Zavala Elias D. Nino-Ruiz Mihai Anitescu

We study the impact of capturing spatiotemporal correlations between multiple wind supply points on economic dispatch procedures. Using a simple dispatch model, we first show analytically that over/underestimation of correlation leads to positive and negative biases of dispatch cost, respectively. A rigorous, large-scale computational study for the State of Illinois transmission grid with real ...

2012
Anthony Florita Kirsten Orwig Debra Lew Michael Milligan

The introduction of large amounts of variable and uncertain power sources, such as wind power, into the electricity grid presents a number of challenges for system operations. One issue involves the uncertainty associated with scheduling power that wind will supply in future timeframes. However, this is not an entirely new challenge; load is also variable and uncertain, and is strongly influenc...

2016
Zhongrong Zhang Feng Liu Jinpeng Liu

Wind energy has increasingly played a vital role in mitigating conventional resource shortages. Nevertheless, the stochastic nature of wind poses a great challenge when attempting to find an accurate forecasting model for wind power. Therefore, precise wind power forecasts are of primary importance to solve operational, planning and economic problems in the growing wind power scenario. Previous...

1999
Amy E. Gonzales David G. Long

The NASA scatterometer (NSCAT) estimates the wind speed and direction of near-surface ocean wind. Several possible wind vectors (termed ambiguities) are estimated for each resolution element known as a wind vector cell (WVC). Typically, the speeds of the possible wind vectors are nearly the same, but the directions are very different. The correct wind must be distinguished in a step called ambi...

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