In this paper we use four main dimensions: Vulnerability, Human Behaviour, Hazards and Expected Utility to analyze their impact in scenario planning when cross-matched with Human Development Adjusted, Gender Inequality and Multidimensional Poverty Indexes within flood risk management strategies. We argue that the four dimensions are among the central factors behind the poor quality of life. Hen...

This study describes a model (MIKADO) to analyse options to reduce the environmental impact of aluminium die casting. This model will take a company perspective, so that it can be used as a decision-support tool for the environmental management of a plant. MIKADO can be used to perform scenario analyses to analyse the impact on the environment of different strategies, while taking into account ...

Scenario planning is a promising tool for dealing with uncertainty, but it has been underutilized in ecology and conservation. The use of scenarios to explore ecological dynamics of alternative futures has been given a major boost by the recently completed Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, a 4-year initiative to investigate relationships between ecosystem services and human well-being at multipl...

This thesis explores the application of scenario planning to regional strategic transportation planning (RSTP). Like all strategic planning, RSTP takes place in the presence of uncertainty, requiring flexibility and systematic thinking. The work presented builds on that of Mufioz in his application of scenarios to Mendoza, Argentina and the Cooperative Mobility Program ReS/SITE team's scenario-...

Water resources management models are widely used to evaluate planning or operational scenarios to support water resource management decision-making. However, the approaches to modelling used in the past have led to problems, such as modellers having difficulty establishing the credibility of their model with stakeholders, and stakeholders having difficulty understanding and trusting model resu...

Drawing upon utility maximization theory, this study examines the consequences of quick response (QR) code mobile promotion in terms of information privacy concerns, defensive responses (intention to protect, fabricate, or withhold), and loyalty. Two contextual variables, social anxiety and situational involvement, are hypothesized as moderators. The main survey employs the scenario method with...

This paper presents a tool for dynamic simulation of radio resources in WiMAX IEEE802.16e-2005 networks. The developed tool provides an integrated environment for defining user scenario characteristics, BS planning, simulation and analysis. For implementing the different mechanisms of WiMAX radio technology, the simulation tool kernel is defined on a system-level, dynamic, stochastic and a disc...

Planning resources for a supply chain is a major factor determining its success or failure. In this paper we build on previous work introducing an Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic model of a multiple echelon supply chain. It is believed that the additional degree of uncertainty provided by Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic will allow for better representation of the uncertainty and vagueness present in re...

This study focuses on the role of traveller information and associated technologies in supporting personal security in travel by public transport. It reports research undertaken via a workshop involving SWOT analysis and scenario planning and a series of expert interviews. These research activities created a baseline understanding of how personal security issues are currently addressed, and ide...

Many dynamic planning and management problems are typically characterised by a level of uncertainty regarding the value of data input such as supply and demand patterns. Assigning inaccurate values to them could invalidate the results of the study. Consequently, deterministic models are inadequate for the representation of these problems where the most crucial parameters are either unknown or a...