The estimation of the impact of macroeconomic announcements on the Brazilian futures markets is used to uncover the relationship between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset prices. Using intraday data from October 2008 to January 2011, we find that external macroeconomic announcements dominate price changes in the Foreign Exchange and Ibovespa markets, while the impact of the domestic ones is ...

This essay focuses on the problem of hedging a long-term commitment to deliver a fixed amount of commodity, which often arises when the maturity of actively trading futures contracts on this commodity is limited to a few months. Problem is given and illustrated by real-world examples. Different hedging strategies are introduced. Finally, three stochastic pricing models proposed by Schwartz [17]...

This article investigates the optimal crop planting schedule and hedging strategy in the mean return versus CVaR risk framework. Crop insurances and futures contracts are available for hedging against yield and price risks. The impact of the ENSO-based climate forecast on the optimal production and hedging decision is examined. Gaussian copula is applied in simulating the scenarios of correlate...

Unlike derivatives of financial contracts, commodity options exhibit distinct particularities owing to physical aspects of the underlying. An adaptation of no-arbitrage pricing to this kind of derivative turns out to be a stress test, challenging the martingale-based models with diverse technical and technological constraints, with storability and short selling restrictions, and sometimes with ...

A 24-hour exchange market was created on the Web to trade political futures contracts using fictitious money. In this online market, a political futures contract is a futures contract which matures on the election day with a liquidation price determined by the percentage of votes a candidate receives on the election day. Continuous double auctions were implemented as the system for order storag...

In this paper we propose a jump-diffusion type model which recovers the main characteristics of electricity spot price dynamics in the Nordic market, including seasonality, mean-reversion and spiky behavior. We show how the calibration of the market price of risk to actively traded futures contracts allows for efficient valuation of Nord Pool's Asian-style options written on the spot electricit...

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG's) and Error Correction Models (ECM's) are employed to analyze questions of price discovery between spatially separated commodity markets and the transportation market linking them together. Results from our analysis suggest these markets are highly interconnected but it is the inland commodity market that is strongly influenced by both the transportation and commod...

Discusses the features which distinguish the market for residential property from the markets for other assets. Proposes that financial institutions should offer house buyers indemnity policies which pay out an amount related to any fall in the level of a general index of house prices, on the sale of the house at a loss at any time during the mortgage term. To facilitate hedging the risk of a p...

We propose a continuous-time autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics with volatility being the product of a seasonal function and a stochastic process. We use the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model for the stochastic volatility. The proposed temperature dynamics is flexible enough to model temperature data accurately, and at the same time being analytically tractable. Futures prices...

The backward induction approach is systematically used to produce various models of forward market rates. These include the lognormal model of forward LIBOR rates examined in Miltersen et al. (1997) and Brace et al. (1997), as well as the lognormal model of ((xed-maturity) forward swap rates proposed by Jamshidian (1996, 1997). The valuation formulae for European caps and swaptions are given. I...