نتایج جستجو برای: extreme climate indices

تعداد نتایج: 328232  

2007
Roger Pielke

The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change has focused debate on the costs and benefits of alternative courses of action on climate change. This refocusing has helped to move debate away from science of the climate system and on to issues of policy. However, a careful examination of the Stern Review’s treatment of the economics of extreme events in developed countries, such as floods a...

Journal: :Proceedings. Biological sciences 2017
Simone Vincenzi Marc Mangel Dusan Jesensek John Carlos Garza Alain J Crivelli

Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events. Tests on empirical data of theory-based predictions on the consequences of extreme climate events are thus necessary to understand the adaptive potential of species and the overarching risks associated with all aspects of climate change. We tested predictions on the genetic and life-history consequenc...

2014
J. F. Roberts A. J. Champion L. C. Dawkins K. I. Hodges L. C. Shaffrey D. B. Stephenson M. A. Stringer H. E. Thornton B. D. Youngman

The XWS (eXtreme WindStorms) catalogue consists of storm tracks and model-generated maximum 3 s wind-gust footprints for 50 of the most extreme winter windstorms to hit Europe in the period 1979–2012. The catalogue is intended to be a valuable resource for both academia and industries such as (re)insurance, for example allowing users to characterise extreme European storms, and validate climate...

Journal: :Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2016
Shineng Hu Alexey V Fedorov

Intraseasonal wind bursts in the tropical Pacific are believed to affect the evolution and diversity of El Niño events. In particular, the occurrence of two strong westerly wind bursts (WWBs) in early 2014 apparently pushed the ocean-atmosphere system toward a moderate to strong El Niño--potentially an extreme event according to some climate models. However, the event's progression quickly stal...

2011

Climate change in the (Sub)Arctic is expected to be more extreme and rapid compared to other regions in the world (IPCC 2007). Tundra and peatlands are the main ecosystem components at these northern latitudes, which are largely dominated by lichens and bryophytes fulfilling important ecosystems functions (see General Introduction, Longton 1988; Rydin & Jeglum 2006). As both biodiversity and ve...

2015
Anthony J McMichael

Human-driven climatic changes will fundamentally influence patterns of human health, including infectious disease clusters and epidemics following extreme weather events. Extreme weather events are projected to increase further with the advance of human-driven climate change. Both recent and historical experiences indicate that infectious disease outbreaks very often follow extreme weather even...

2010
Channing Arndt Kenneth Strzepek Finn Tarp James Thurlow Charles Fant Len Wright

Mozambique, like many African countries, is already highly susceptible to climate variability and extreme weather events. Climate change threatens to heighten this vulnerability. In order to evaluate potential impacts and adaptation options for Mozambique, we develop an integrated modelling framework that translates atmospheric changes from general circulation model projections into biophysical...

2016
Polly J Ericksen Mario Herrero Andrew J Challinor

The focus of the great majority of climate change impact studies is on changes in mean climate. In terms of climate model output, these changes are more robust than changes in climate variability. By concentrating on changes in climate means, the full impacts of climate change on biological and human systems are probably being seriously underestimated. Here we briefly review the possible impact...

Journal: :The Journal of applied ecology 2017
Ceres Barros Maya Guéguen Rolland Douzet Marta Carboni Isabelle Boulangeat Niklaus E Zimmermann Tamara Münkemüller Wilfried Thuiller

1. Climate change and extreme events, such as drought, threaten ecosystems worldwide and in particular mountain ecosystems, where species often live at their environmental tolerance limits. In the European Alps, plant communities are also influenced by land-use abandonment leading to woody encroachment of subalpine and alpine grasslands. 2. In this study, we explored how the forest-grassland ec...

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