Nonlinear Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on the Volume of Bilateral Exports Christopher F. Baum Department of Economics Boston College Mustafa Caglayan Department of Economics and Accounting University of Liverpool, UK Neslihan Ozkan Department of Economics and Accounting University of Liverpool, UK In this paper, we empirically investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on real in...

In this paper, I consider modeling the effects of the macroeconomic determinants on the nominal exchange rate to be channeled through the transition probabilities in a Markovian process. The model posits that the deviation of the exchange rate from its fundamental value alters the market’s belief in the probability of the process staying in certain regime next period. This paper further takes i...

This paper uses high frequency exchange rate data for a group of twelve Latin American countries to analyze volatility comovements. Particular interest is posed on understanding the existence of a common volatility process during the 1994–2005 period. The analysis relies on bivariate common factor models. We test for second-order common features using the common ARCH-feature methodology develop...

This paper examines volatility spillovers between the stock and currency markets of ten Asian economies in the period 2003 to 2014. To carry out this analysis, a multivariate asymmetric GARCH model is used. In general, our results present evidence of bidirectional volatility spillovers between both markets, independently of the individual country’s level of development. Additionally, our findin...

Terrorism, political system instability and currency rate fluctuations are the three most evident issues of 21st century. In this study, comparative analysis is performed to check the impact of all these issues on PSX Volatility. EGARCH (1,1) approach is used on four different kinds of data collected from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2015. Terrorist events, FX return fluctuations with rest...

The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system and the adoption of generalized ‡oating exchange rates ushered in a new era of exchange rate volatility and uncertainty. This increased volatility lead economists to search for economic models able to describe observed exchange rate behavior. In the present paper we propose more general STAR transition functions which encompass both threshold nonlineari...