Methodological norms in economic theorising are interpreted as rational strategies to optimise some epistemic utility functions. A definition of ‘empirical verisimilitude’ is defended as a plausible interpretation of the epistemic preferences of researchers. Some salient differences between the scientific strategies of physics and of economics are derived from the comparison of the relative cos...

A generic fusion problem is studied for multiple sensors whose outputs are probabilistically related to their inputs according to unknown distributions. Sensor measurements are provided as iid input-output samples, and an empirical risk minimization method is described for designing fusers with distribution-free performance bounds. The special cases of isolation and projective fusers for classi...

In this paper, we study a two-category classification problem. We indicate the categories by labels Y = 1 and Y = −1. We observe a covariate, or feature, X ∈ X ⊂ R. Consider a collection {ha} of classifiers indexed by a finite-dimensional parameter a, and the classifier ha∗ that minimizes the prediction error over this class. The parameter a∗ is estimated by the empirical risk minimizer ân over...

We address the problem of sequential prediction in the heteroscedastic setting, when both the signal and its variance are assumed to depend on explanatory variables. By applying regret minimization techniques, we devise an efficient online learning algorithm for the problem, without assuming that the error terms comply with a specific distribution. We show that our algorithm can be adjusted to ...

There is increasing support for sharing individual-level data generated by medical and public health research. This scoping review of empirical research and conceptual literature examined stakeholders' perspectives of ethical best practices in data sharing, particularly in low- and middle-income settings. Sixty-nine empirical and conceptual articles were reviewed, of which, only five were empir...

abstract from longley, the various equations for determining the runoff to water management are presented by the researchers that are widely used in hydrologic sciences. in this study by using observational data, was evaluated empirical, artificial neural network (ann) and ca-active neuro-fuzzy inference system (canfis) models in estimation of runoff. for this purpose, by using climatic and phy...

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general enough to include cases in which no minimum exists, as occurs typically, for instance, with standard boosting algorithms. Concretely, we first show that any...

Empirical evidence shows that entrepreneurs hold a large fraction of wealth, have higher saving rates than workers, and face substantial uninsurable entrepreneurial and investment risks. This paper constructs a heterogeneous-agent general equilibrium model with uninsurable entrepreneurial risk and capital-market imperfections to explore the implications of uninsurable entrepreneurial risk for w...

Let (X ,μ) be a probability space, set X to be distributed according to μ and put Y to be an unknown target random variable. In the usual setup in learning theory, one observes N independent couples (Xi, Yi)Ni=1 in X × R, distributed according to the joint distribution of X and Y . The goal is to construct a real-valued function f which is a good guess/prediction of Y . A standard way of measur...