Suppose that the equity premium is forecasted by dividend yields. Even if such a relationship does exist, there is so much noise in the equity premium that estimation, inference and forecasting cannot be carried out using the faint signal coming from the dividend yields. For analyzing equity/dividend data, it is useful to quantify the signal in a given sample. We de…ne an index of signal streng...

We estimate the cross-sectional relationship between open market repurchases and accounting data for a large sample of dividend-paying and non-dividend-paying firms over a twelve year period (1984-95). Consistent with the hypothesis that firms use open market repurchases to reduce the agency costs of free cash flow, we find that repurchases are positively related to proxies for free cash flow a...

We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability, and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.

We study pricing models for a participating deferred annuity. Game theory is used to formulate different pricing models based on customers’ preference concerning benefits and risks. The objective is to maximize social welfare. Value at Risk (VaR) under multi-stage stochastic processes is applied to measure credit risk and its calculation is discussed. Monte Carlo simulation and stochastic optim...

The current paper presents a short survey of stochastic models of risk control and dividend optimization techniques for a nancial corporation. While being close to consump-tion/investment models of Mathematical Finance, dividend optimization models possess special features which do not allow them to be treated as a particular case of consumption/investment models. In a typical model of this sor...

We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.

This paper investigates the presence of cointegration between stock prices and dividends for a panel of 56 large UK companies. Using new techniques which account for integrated processes in a panel context we demonstrate that stock prices and dividends are cointegrated, with an implied common discount rate of 5.8%. The authors would like to thank Rebecca Driver, Ronnie MacDonald and Peter Pedro...

In many developing countries and in East Asia’s NIEs, demographic change has favored economic growth. A demographic dividend or demographic window arises because the working-age populations are growing more rapidly than the number of consumers. This provides an extra boost to per capita income. As is widely appreciated, the demographic dividend is transitory. In the coming decades, the number o...

The purpose of this article is to analyze the macroeconomic impacts of fiscal policy in Iran using a new-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model. The model takes into account distortionary taxations on wage, dividend, and consumption, while government expenditures are broken down into consumption of goods and services, and investment. The model is calibrated for Iran based...