In this paper we identify the main determinants of the exchange rate regimes in Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs). For this purpose, we use an ordered logit model for the official (de jure) and the actual (de facto) exchange rate classifications. We find that trade openness and concentration, inflation differentials, international reserves stocks, and financial conditions are the m...

This paper presents estimates of the impact of exchange rate movements on the industry-level price of investment goods using a panel of OECD countries. An exchange rate depreciation (appreciation) causes a significant rise (fall) in the prices of the investment goods used by most industries, but the magnitude of this effect differs greatly across sectors. A currency depreciation causes a strong...

Evidence has been mounting (over the centuries) that the interest based debt financing regime is under ever increasing distress. All of the earlier crises whatever label they carried− exchange rate crisis or banking crisis – have been debt crises in essence. At the present, empirical research suggests that the debt-to-GDP ratio of the richest members of the G-20 threatens to touch 120% m...

The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence. For this purpose, Vector Auto Regression method and Markov Switching model is used for quarterly data during 1989:4 -2014:3. The results show that, the impact of liquidity growth and exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence is positive. On the other hand, GDP growth has a ne...

This paper develops an endogenous growth model with dualism in human capital accumulation of two types of individuals. The government imposes a proportional redistributive tax on the resources of the rich individual to finance the educational subsidy given to the poor individuals. We find out the properties of optimal tax cum educational subsidy policy using Stackelberg differential game framew...

A major puzzle in international finance is the well-documented inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While this literature has generally employed statistical measures of forecast accuracy, we investigate whether there is any economic value to the predictive power of monetary fundamental...

one of the most important objectives of any economic system is to achieve to low and stable inflation and sustained economic growth. in this study, first, bayesian causal is indentified effective factors on inflation and then using bayesian causal network and determining prior probabilities and posterior probabilities in different scenarios,it is discussed the impacts of this factors on inflati...

This paper develops a view of exchange rate policy as a trade-off between the desire to smooth fluctuations in real exchange rates so as to reduce distortions in consumption allocations, and the need to allow flexibility in the nominal exchange rate so as to facilitate terms of trade adjustment. We show that optimal nominal exchange rate volatility will reflect these competing objectives. The k...