This paper studies bank loans over the business cycles in Iran to determine the role of Iranian banks in stabilizing credit. By estimating the long-run relations using dynamic OLS and fully modified OLS estimators, the findings show that real bank lending is positively related to real GDP in the long-run providing evidences of the pro-cyclicality of bank lending in Iran. Hence, Iranian banking ...

a r t i c l e i n f o Keywords: Customer value Relationship value Formative and reflective value models Crosscountry measurement equivalence This commentary reflects on Blocker's cross-cultural investigation of relationship value in business markets, published in this issue, and identifies several research avenues. From a theoretical point of view, researchers should develop and test hypotheses...

We analyse, from a worldwide view, the evolution of real Gross Domestic Product, Population and Gdp per inhabitant and the main differences in the levels of development are explained having into account the results of several cross-country models. The main conclusions highlight the necessity of new international policies for improving the educative level of population in less developed countrie...

I compare the canonical sunspots and real business cycle models of aggregate fluctuations. The sunspots model, distinguished by production externalities, is better able to reproduce the typical spectral shape of growth rates found in the data. However, it generates excessive investment volatility and overstates high frequency behavior in employment, investment and output series. The introductio...

This article shows – on both conceptual and empirical grounds the importance of business cycles in affecting key relationships between innovation and international performance. While periods of upswing are characterised by a well documented „virtuous circle‟ between innovation inputs, new products and export success, during downswings most of the positive relationships and feedbacks tend to bre...

This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of ‘news’ shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by ‘non-fundamentalness’ and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; (ii) news shocks have a limited role in explainin...

The effectiveness of economic policies depends on the nature of expectations. Under adaptive expectations, the Philipps curve allows a governement to "surprise" agents. Under rational expectations, there is less room for economic policies. We assume that only an (endogenously determined) proportion of agents form rational expectations and show that this leads the government to optimal policies ...

I show how to construct a stochastic long-lived overlapping generations model, based on a non-stochastic model developed by Olivier Blanchard [2] and Philippe Weil [14], that nests the RBC model as a special case. My innovation over previous work is to add an aggregate stochastic shock. I provide three different calibrations of the model. One mimics the RBC model and the other two are heterogen...