The duo of Fama and French is most famous for their 1992 and 1993 papers documenting strong historical value and size effects. (Fama is also famous – or infamous, depending on your perspective – for his association with the efficient market hypothesis.) The core observation of Fama and French’s seminal papers was that the returns on small-company and value stocks – those with high book-to-marke...

futures contract is one of the most important derivatives that is used in financial markets in all over the world to buy or sell an asset or commodity in the future. pricing of this tool depends on expected price of asset or commodity at the maturity date. according to this, theoretical futures pricing models try to find this expected price in order to use in the futures contract. so in this ar...

Parameter uncertainty has recently been proposed as a viable candidate to reconsile various asset pricing puzzles that have arisen in the asset pricing literature. Focusing on the risk-free rate puzzle, I show through a simulation study that Bayesian learning about parameter uncertainty has a limited role in explaining the low historical short-term interest rates.

In this paper, the pricing of a European call option on the underlying asset is performed by using a Monte Carlo method, one of the powerful simulation methods, where the price development of the asset is simulated and value of the claim is computed in terms of an expected value. The proposed approach, applied in Monte Carlo simulation, is based on the Black-Scholes equation which generally def...

Futures contract is one of the most important derivatives that is used in financial markets in all over the world to buy or sell an asset or commodity in the future. Pricing of this tool depends on expected price of asset or commodity at the maturity date. According to this, theoretical futures pricing models try to find this expected price in order to use in the futures contract. So in this ar...

We consider the impact of “large” changes in asset prices on intra-market correlations in domestic and international markets. Assuming normally distributed asset returns, we show that the absolute magnitude of the correlation, conditional on a change greater than or equal to a given absolute size of one of the variables, is monotonically increasing in the magnitude of that absolute change. Empi...

This paper develops the CCAPM model to allow for long-run risk in durable consumption. Allowing Epstein-Zin preferences to incorporate non-separability of durable and non-durable consumption in utility provides for an Euler equation which can be shown to provide a much better explanation of equity market features than either the basic CAPM or CCAPM. .The paper incorporates this discount factor ...

This paper studies consumption and savings dynamics, asset returns, and welfare losses in three macroeconomic models with information processing constraints which is also called “rational inattention” (henceforth, RI) in Sims (2003). The first model is a standard Linear Quadratic Gaussian (henceforth, LQG) permanent income (henceforth, PIH) model. We show that incorporating RI can better explai...

Forward exchange rate unbiasedness is rejected in tests from the current floating exchange rate era. This paper surveys advances in this area since the publication of Hodrick's (1987) survey. It documents that the change in the future exchange rate is generally negatively related to the forward discount. Properties of the expected forward forecast error are reviewed. Issues such as the relation...

We propose a model in which real interest rates respond to both expected consumption growth and time preferences. Exposures to future consumption growth and time preference interest rate shocks are both priced relative to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM). However, the two types of interest rate risk have different prices, and when el...