The generation business in the U.S. is currently undergoing a transition from a regulated monopoly toward an uncertain, competitive market. Under the competitive market, the price of electric power as well as the corresponding revenue may be much less certain than before. These market uncertainties have increased the significance of two critical factors in generation planning. These factors are...

The object of this study was to investigate some implications of the tenets of behavioral finance on the pricing of financial derivatives. In particular, based on the work by Wolff et al (2009) we have investigated how prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) can be intregrated into the Black and Scholes (1973) option pricing framework. We have then used the resulting " behavioral version "...

Volatility forecasts aim to measure future risk and they are key inputs for financial analysis. In this study, we forecast the realized variance as an observable of volatility several major international stock market indices accounted different predictive information present in jump, continuous, option-implied components. We allowed spillovers markets by using a multivariate modeling approach. ...

The Black-Scholes model is the standard approach used for pricing financial options. However, although being theoretically strong, option prices valued by the model often differ from the prices observed in the financial markets. This paper applies a hybrid neural network which preprocesses financial input data for improving the estimation of option market prices. This model is comprised of two ...

It is widely held that insurance discourages people from taking diagnostic tests since such tests can turn up information that leads to uninsurability. We develop a model in which some consumers are initially informed of their risk type and others are uninformed, and there is a treatment option. People decide whether to be tested, uninformed insurers offer contracts, and consumers select their ...

Using a multi-agent social simulation model to predict the behavior of cloud computing markets, Rogers & Cliff (R&C) demonstrated the existence of a profitable cloud brokerage capable of benefitting cloud providers and cloud consumers alike. Functionally similar to financial market brokers, the cloud broker matches provider supply with consumer demand. This is achieved through options, a type o...

This paper examines KOSPI200 index option prices in order to investigate whether index option implied volatilities foreshadowed the 1997 economic crisis in Korea. Results indicate the absence of strong fears of an impending market downturn prior to the crisis. Put option implied volatilities rose sharply as the crisis intensified, however, and the difference between put and call implied volatil...

In this work, we extend the applicability of regret minimization to pricing financial instruments, following the work of [10]. More specifically, we consider pricing a type of exotic option called a fixed-strike lookback call option. A fixed-strike lookback call option has a known expiration time, at which the option holder has the right to receive the difference between the maximal price of a ...