نتایج جستجو برای: model uncertainty

تعداد نتایج: 2184387  

Wind Power generation integrated in electrical power system can cause of variation and uncertainty which must be considered in process of generation expansion planning (GEP). The goal of this study is to model the GEP problem integrated with wind power generation and introduce the fuzzy-probability model to consider variation and uncertainty of wind power generation. To verify and optimize the ...

In the present study, the amount of nitrate and phosphate leaching from agricultural lands into the Zanjanrood River in Iran was simulated using the Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The measured average monthly discharges at the Sarcham station were used to calibrate and validate the SWAT model, and the SWAT Calibration and Uncertainty Program (SWAT-CUP) model was applied to perform t...

Supplying of blood and blood products is one of the most challenging issues in the healthcare system since blood is as extremely perishable and vital good and donation of blood is a voluntary work. In this paper, we propose a two-stage stochastic selective-covering-inventory-routing (SCIR) model to supply whole blood under uncertainty. Here, set of discrete scenarios are used to display uncerta...

Journal: :journal of ai and data mining 2014
mohammad mehdi fateh seyed mohammad ahmadi saeed khorashadizadeh

tthe uncertainty estimation and compensation are challenging problems for the robust control of robot manipulators which are complex systems. this paper presents a novel decentralized model-free robust controller for electrically driven robot manipulators. as a novelty, the proposed controller employs a simple gaussian radial-basis-function network as an uncertainty estimator. the proposed netw...

Journal: :international journal of environmental research 0
m. abbasi faculty of environment, university of tehran, tehran, iran m.a. abduli faculty of environment, university of tehran, tehran, iran b. omidvar faculty of environment, university of tehran, tehran, iran a. baghvand faculty of environment, university of tehran, tehran, iran

forecasting of municipal waste generation is a critical challenge for decision making and planning,because proper planning and operation of a solid waste management system is intensively affected by municipal solid waste (msw) streams analysis and accurate predictions of solid waste quantities generated. due to dynamic and complexity of solid waste management system, models by artificial intell...

Journal: :International Journal of Geographical Information Science 2005
Daniel G. Brown Scott E. Page Rick L. Riolo Moira Zellner William Rand

In this paper, we identify two distinct notions of accuracy of land-use models and highlight a tension between them. A model can have predictive accuracy: its predicted land-use pattern can be highly correlated with the actual land-use pattern. A model can also have process accuracy: the process by which locations or land-use patterns are determined can be consistent with real world processes. ...

2003
Elmar Kriegler Hermann Held

We apply random set theory to an analysis of future climate change. Bounds on cumulative probability are used to quantify uncertainties in natural and socio-economic factors that influence estimates of global mean temperature. We explore the link of random sets to lower envelopes of probability families bounded by cumulative probability intervals. By exploiting this link, a random set for a sim...

Journal: :Robotics and Autonomous Systems 2005
Arnaud Clerentin Laurent Delahoche Eric Brassart Cyril Drocourt

In this article, a dynamic localization method based on multi-target tracking is presented. The originality of this method is its capability to manage and propagate uncertainties during the localization process. This multi-level uncertainty propagation stage is based on the use of the Dempster–Shafer theory. The perception system we use is composed of an omnidirectional vision system and a pano...

2014
Sibo Ding Yuan Gao

This paper derives an optimal (r; S) policy for uncertain multi-product newsboy problem. Demands for the products are estimated by experts and assumed to be independent uncertain variables. Uncertainty theory, which is a new mathematical tool to deal with human uncertainty, is employed to model demand distributions. A fixed setup cost and a linear ordering cost are incurred if products are orde...

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