a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C53 G17 Keywords: GARCH Higher conditional moments Approximate predictive distributions Value-at-Risk S&P 500 Treasury bill rate Euro–US dollar exchange rate It is widely accepted that some of the most accurate Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates are based on an appropriately specified GARCH process. But when the forecast horizon is greater than the frequency...

The O-Ring theory is used to analyze the emergence of ̄rms organized as partnerships. The owner-managers of such entrepreneurial ̄rms bene ̄t from ability matching within their production teams. However, they must bear the project risk. Risk-aversion then induces a second-best solution. Integrated ̄rms managed on behalf of riskneutral residual-claimants face information and/or enforcement problem...

This paper considers the interactions between financial sector reform and entrepreneurial development with a focus on identifying policies appropriate for fostering entrepreneurial discovery and learning. Using a simple model of occupational choice with moral hazard, it analyzes the effects of Financial Liberalization policies (McKinnon, 1973) on the development of industrial entrepreneurship. ...

What Are We Learning from Business Training and Entrepreneurship Evaluations around the Developing World? Business training programs are a popular policy option to try to improve the performance of enterprises around the world. The last few years have seen rapid growth in the number of evaluations of these programs in developing countries. We undertake a critical review of these studies with th...

We run a novel field experiment to link managers of African manufacturing firms. The experiment resembles the many forms of interaction that business and community organizations offer to their members. The design features exogenous link formation, exogenous seeding of information, and exogenous assignment to treatment and placebo. We study the impact of the experiment on firm business practices...

Business Training and Female Enterprise Start-Up, Growth, and Dynamics: Experimental Evidence from Sri Lanka We conduct a randomized experiment in Sri Lanka to measure the impact of the most commonly used business training course in developing countries, the Start-and-Improve Your Business (SIYB) program. In contrast to existing business training evaluations which are restricted to microfinance...

In order to explore the impact of financial factors on the real economy, many researchers are analyzing the relationship between finance and real economic activity using new theories and approaches. This paper focuses on the relationship between financial soundness and corporate R&D activities on a regional scale. By measuring regional financial performance using data series including periods o...

Young Entrepreneurs in Rural Africa: Prevalence, Determinants, Productivity Africa is not only the poorest and most rural continent, it is also the most youthful continent in terms of population. Given the large number of young job seekers that will enter the labor market over the next decade, we need a better understanding of rural non-farm entrepreneurship, particularly with regard to the rol...

And the Winner Is--Acquired: Entrepreneurship as a Contest with Acquisition as the Prize R&D incentives of new entrants to a market may be shaped by the prospects of being acquired by an incumbent. In this paper, we analyze a two-stage innovation game between one incumbent and a large number of entrants. In the first stage, firms compete to develop innovations of high quality. They do so by cho...