The methodological tool of the technology foresight strategy in innovation activity which is based on the new expert estimation principles and software for processing the results of the foresight under the real conditions are proposed. Obviously, this strategy should determine the main development directions of strategically important industries, the prospects of competitiveness products, the s...

Brower and others have argued that the evolution of mankind might have come to a halt without optimistic illusions. With the emergence of conscious foresight (the ability to imagine one’s future) came the devastating understanding that old age, sickness, decline of mental power, and oblivion await. Varki and Brower reason that this awareness on its own would have interfered with our daily funct...

In this paper, I will have a look at the interference of ethical reflection and the provisional and perhaps futuristic nature of its subject in such recent questions like human enhancement at the interface between society, technology, and ethics. This interface brings up more complex challenges to adequately dealing with normative and epistemic aspects of providing orientation. Taking the progr...

Tracing mechanisms in distributed systems give important insight into system properties and are usually sampled to control overhead. At Google, Dapper [8] is the always-on system for distributed tracing and performance analysis, and it samples fractions of all RPC traffic. Due to difficult implementation, excessive data volume, or a lack of perfect foresight, there are times when system quantit...

In this paper, I will have a look at the interference of ethical reflection and the provisional and perhaps futuristic nature of its subject in such recent questions like human enhancement at the interface between society, technology, and ethics. This interface brings up more complex challenges to adequately dealing with normative and epistemic aspects of providing orientation. Taking the progr...

Purpose – This article aims to treat contemporary economic development from a regional and European perspective. Design/methodology/approach – The article applies a French prospective (foresight) approach to the issues of employment, decentralization, and privatization as an antidote to the usual discussions of governance and globalization. Findings – The article stresses the need for simple, a...

In an overlapping generations model with Cournot competition on the goods market it is shown that a continuum of stationary states and perfect foresight trajectories exists with unemployment at arbitrary low wages. Decisive for this is the influence that different forecast functions have on the objective demand curve, even though they are consistent with perfect foresight. With an example it is...

Subject of this analysis is to show how storage is operated optimally under renewable and load uncertainty in the electricity system context. We estimate a homogeneous Markov Chain representation of the residual load in Germany in 2014 on an hourly basis and design a very simple dynamic stochastic electricity system model with non-intermittent generation technologies and storage. We compare the...

This paper proposes a perfect foresight model of a two-region two-sector economy, where localized externalities in the acquisition of skills cause specialization and uneven regional development. The introduction of a new technology either reinforces or reverses this development pattern. Wealth differences are reinforced if, in spite of higher wages, the new technology locates in the advanced re...

A fundamental shift in the future of work is underway, with significant implications for the number, location, and types of jobs. This shift is entangled in a wider set of longerterm transitions. The disruptive nature of this shift presents new policy challenges and carries implications for maintaining the social contract. This paper shares recent examples of global Foresight that have been dev...