Kegiatan untuk memperkirakan apa yang akan terjadi pada masa datang disebut dengan peramalan. Metode Winter Exponential Smoothing adalah metode peramalan menggunakan tiga persamaan pola, yaitu stationer, trend, dan musiman. Teknik dapat diterapkan dalam memprediksi stok produk benang PT. Jangkar Mas di periode selanjutnya. Untuk itu peneliti bermaksud membangun sebuah sistem agar mempermudah pe...

Seiring dengan perkembangan zaman, teknologi informasi menjadi salah satu alat untuk bersaing dalam bisnis, kemajuan merupakan faktor yang sangat penting membantu kelancarnya kinerja suatu perusahaan. Peramalan atau prediksi digunakan mempertimbangkan ekonomi dan bisnis. Oleh karena itu perusahaan memerlukan perhitungan memprediksi penjualan setiap periodenya. Maka menghitung menggunakan Single...

This paper introduces a new smoothing algorithm for time series processing to be implemented in various applications, including, among others, array processing and wireless communication. This new approach has also been tested for noise filtering and edge preserving in images. The algorithm is based on a nonlinear exponential smoothing (NLES) method that shows a significant improvement in the m...

CV. Usaha Muda Materials is a company engaged in the distribution of wood, cement, iron and other building materials. Frequent errors data collection purchases sales lead to disinformation goods. Prediction process for estimating how many needs future which include terms quantity, quality, time location needed order meet demand goods or services. number inventory items can be calculated using e...

Exponential procedures are widely used as forecasting techniques for inventory control and business planning. A number of modifications to the generalized exponential smoothing (Holt–Winters) approach to forecasting univariate time series is presented, which have been adapted into a tool for decision support systems. This methodology unifies the phases of estimation and model selection into jus...

The medium density fiberboard (MDF) market demand was investigated during the years from 2004 to 2013 in Iran. Estimation of MDF demand was made by exponential smoothing method by the year 2018. The insight into the level of demand that might exist by the year 2013 was obtained by reviewing the production, import, export, and consumption of MDF on the Iran. The results show that the consumption...

Current forecasting software can be problematic in its level of integration with Microsoft Excel forecasting models. Standalone forecasting software operates in a batch mode with Excel and is impossible to run interactively without custom programming. Excel forecasting add-ins are designed to work within Excel and can be automated to use with forecasting models, but lack support for damped tren...

Air cargo loading weight forecasting is an important factor for managers in the aviation industry because revenue is dependent on the amount of weight loaded. In this paper, we propose a new method to improve forecasting accuracy and confirm them by the numerical example. Focusing that the equation of exponential smoothing method(ESM) is equivalent to (1,1) order ARMA model equation, a new meth...

Lonjakan pasien yang terjadi setiap bulannya perlu diperhatikan oleh rumah sakit, baik itu sakit swasta maupun pemerintah. Dengan adanya nilai prediksi jumlah untuk bulannya. Diharapkan dapat membantu manajemen dalam pengambilan keputusan meningkatkan fasilitas pelayanan khususnya instalasi rawat inap. Dalam penelitian ini metode peramalan digunakan yaitu Triple Exponential Smoothing, karena te...