Imagine that you are deciding whether to read this paper. It might seem reasonable for you to base your decision on your confidence (i) that, if you read this paper, you will become a better person. It might also seem reasonable for you to base your decision on your confidence (ii) that, if you were to read this paper, you would become a better person. Is there a difference between (i) and (ii)...

The Internet self-evolves rapidly and its dynamic structure poses many interesting questions for researchers in network analysis. In this paper I show how we can simplify the entire Internet as a mathematical graph and then extract its structural characteristics; these characteristics in turn help us build statistical models that can predict how the Internet will evolve. The data describing the...

Simple decision guidelines (SDG) describe the basic components of more complex decision-support tools. These components are: (1) management objectives, (2) management options, and (3) guidelines for assessing stock status and responding accordingly. In close cooperation with the local fisheries manager, I developed SDG for terminal fisheries targeting Atnarko River chinook salmon. To describe m...

Two induced aggregation operators with novelly designed TOPSIS order-inducing variables are proposed: Induced Interval-valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy Hybrid Averaging I-IIFHA operator and Induced Interval-valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy Hybrid Geometric I-IIFHG operator. The merit of two aggregation operators is that they can consider additional preference information of decision maker’s attitudinal c...

Usually, I want to be a rational patient. To do that, my physicians need to help me understand the probability and magnitude of the good and bad things that can happen to me, as a result of taking—or rejecting—possible treatments. By “understand,” I mean having cognitive control over the issues that are so important to me. I want not only to hear the facts, but also to be able to integrate them...

In this paper, 1 will describe examples of state-of-the-art practice in supply-chain management; e.g., vendor-managed inventory, quick response, and other contemporary systems, such as Wal-Mart's RetailLink. The perspective will be that of what I call the JDJB Portfolio; i.e., what Information (I), Decision-Making {D), Implementation (I), and Buffer (B) systems are employed in managing real-wor...

le systeme decisionnel francais vu de i'exterieur donne, parait-il, i'idee d'un ensemble concu et fonctionnant suivant une rationalite plus ou moins optimale et classique. son examen de pres en procure, pourtant, une autre image. il illustre un systeme influence par un milieu appele « le milieu decisionnel central» compose principalement des membres des grands corps de l'eta...

DECISIONS AND HOW THEY ARE MADE In the wider sense, decision making is embedded in the problem-solving process and its many stages (Davidson and Sternberg, 2003; Güss et al., 2010). In the narrow sense, decisionmaking is understood as the ability to select one of several alternatives and to act accordingly (Güss, 2004). Previous research has often focused on decision making in relatively predic...

Abstract In more and contexts, human decision-making is replaced by algorithmic decision-making. While promising to deliver efficient objective decisions, decision systems have specific weaknesses, some of which are particularly dangerous if data collected processed profit-oriented companies. this paper, I focus on two problems that at the root logic decision-making: (1) (in)tolerance for ambig...

This dissertation consists of three essays in microeconomic theory. The first two focus on how to elicit information about the state of the world from strategic agents, either to make a decision or for its own sake. The third studies a model of decentralized two-sided matching markets. In “Mechanisms for making accurate decisions in biased crowds”, I study decision rules for finding the true an...