نتایج جستجو برای: autoregressive integrating moving average method
تعداد نتایج: 2078414 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Time-series data with regular and/or seasonal long-memory are often aggregated before analysis. Often, the aggregation scale is large enough to remove any short-memory components of the underlying process but too short to eliminate seasonal patterns of much longer periods. In this paper, we investigate the limiting correlation structure of aggregate time series within an intermediate asymptotic...
This paper considers the application of long memory processes to describe inflation with seasonal behaviour. We use three different long memory models taking into account the seasonal pattern in the data. Namely, the ARFIMA model with deterministic seasonality, the ARFISMA model, and the periodic ARFIMA (PARFIMA) model. These models are used to describe the inflation rates of four different cou...
We study the autocorrelation structure and the spectral density function of aggregates from a discrete-time process. The underlying discrete-time process is assumed to be a stationary AutoRegressive Fractionally Integrated MovingAverage (ARFIMA) process, after suitable number of differencing if necessary. We derive closed-form expressions for the limiting autocorrelation function and the normal...
A tiie-differencing scheme consisting of an initializing step and N repetitions of a set of steps is proposed. For linear equations, the scheme is of Nth order. It is easily programmed and uses a minimal amount of storage space. The order may be changed by changing one parameter. An improved scheme is of Nth order even for nonlinear equations , for N 54.
This paper analyzes U.S. university press datasets (2001-2007) to determine net publishers’ revenues and net publishers’ units, the major markets and channels of distribution (libraries and institutions; college adoptions; and general retailer sales) that these presses relied on, and the intense competition these presses confronted from commercial scholarly, trade, and college textbook publishe...
In this paper we present a simple yet effective temporal differencing based moving region detection scheme which can be used in limited resource condition such as in ad-hoc sensor network. Our objective is to achieve realtime detection in these low-end image sensor nodes. By double-threshold temporal differencing we can exclude the effect of global motion as well as detect the real motion regio...
This paper examines the forecasting performance of ARIMA and artificial neural networks model with published stock data obtained from New York Stock Exchange. The empirical results obtained reveal the superiority of neural networks model over ARIMA model. The findings further resolve and clarify contradictory opinions reported in literature over the superiority of neural networks and ARIMA mode...
This paper tackles the problem of robust change detection in image sequences from static cameras. Motion cues are detected using frame differencing with an adaptive background estimation modelled by a mixture of Gaussians. Illumination invariance and elimination or detection of shadows is achieved by using a colour chromaticity representation of the image data.
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