Up to now, the impact of real exchange rate on the non-oil exports of Iran has been mainly on focus. However, the more important aspect of the fluctuations in exchange rate is its degree of volatility which can have profound effect on the non-oil exports. Hence, the main objective of this paper is to investigate the linkage between non-oil exports and the real exchange rate volatility for Iran...

Nowadays one of the most important issues in our economy, both from economic and political view is the link between monetary policy and business cycle fluctuations. Amongst the shocks related to the supply side, the shock of oil price is the important factor that has affected the world economy since the 1970s. This paper examines the effects of monetary policy and oil price shocks on the busine...

We analyse the impact of oil supply, global economic activity, oil-specific consumption demand, and oil-inventory demand shocks on equity-market tail risks a panel 48 developed emerging economies over monthly period from 1975:01 to 2017:12. find that, reduce risks, but shock increases with these effects stronger in oil-exporting economies. Our results have important implications for investors p...

This study is an attempt to examine the effects of external shocks on macroeconomic variables in selective small open emerging economies in Southeast Asia. A quarterly Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model, including 33 countries, was used throughout 1979–2013. The empirical results showed that the target countries were affected by external shocks, especially the shocks in the U.S, Euro are...

there are several researches that deal with the behavior of ses and their relationships with different economical factors. these range from papers dealing with this subject through econometrical procedures to statistical methods known as copula. this article considers the impact of oil and gold price on tehran stock exchange market (tse). oil and gold are two factors that are essential for the ...

study of price trend in iran, showed that general level of prices is rising continually during time. an inflation situation has effect on most economic variables. therefore investigation of effective factors and variables on inflation is important. exchange rate and gap in product are factors which affect inflation. in this paper the impact of exchange rate shocks and gap on inflation in iran’s...

When the U.S. invaded Iraq in March 2003, many economists feared that the war would lead to a sharp decline in Iraqi oil production, a spike in oil prices, and a woeful economy that would follow the scripts of the oil shocks of 1973, 1978, and 1990. There was in fact a moderate decline in world oil production, and real oil prices increased from $20 in 2001:4 to $62 in 2006:3. But the ailments a...