We study the coupling of basic quantitative portfolio selection strategies with a financial news article prediction system, AZFinText. By varying the degrees of portfolio formation time, we found that a hybrid system using both quantitative strategy and a full set of financial news articles, performed the best. With a 1-week portfolio formation period we achieved a 20.79% trading return using a...

This paper presents two fuzzy portfolio selection models where the objective is to minimize the downside risk constrained so that a given expected return should be achieved. We assume that the rates of returns on securities are approximated as LR-fuzzy numbers of the same shape, and that the expected return and risk are evaluated by interval-valued means. We establish the relationship between t...

Portfolio management starts with asset allocation. There is a consensus that asset allocation plays an important role in determining portfolio performance (Arshanapalli, Coggin & Nelson, 2001). Active portfolio management implies the rebalancing of the existing portfolio by buying and selling assets. The aim of rebalancing is to improve the performance of the managed portfolio by adjusting it t...

The present study is an attempt toward evaluating the performance of portfolios and assets selecting using modified mean-variance models by utilizing a non-parametric efficiency analysis tool, namely Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Huge amounts of money are being invested in financial market. As a result, portfolio performance evaluation has created a great deal of interest among people. We kn...

In the estimation of portfolios, it is natural to assume that the utility function depends on exogenous variable. From this point of view, in this paper, we develop the estimation under the utility function depending on exogenous variable. To estimate the optimal portfolio, we introduce a function of moments of the return process and cumulant between the return processes and exogenous variable,...

Abstract—Constructing a portfolio of investments is one of the most significant financial decisions facing individuals and institutions. In accordance with the modern portfolio theory maximization of return at minimal risk should be the investment goal of any successful investor. In addition, the costs incurred when setting up a new portfolio or rebalancing an existing portfolio must be include...

The robust portfolio selection problems have recently been studied by several researchers (e.g., see [15, 14, 17, 25]). In their work, the “separable” uncertainty sets of the problem parameters (e.g., mean and covariance of the random returns) were considered. These uncertainty sets share two common drawbacks: i) the actual confidence level of the uncertainty set is unknown, and it can be much ...

The two-fund separation theorem tells us that an investor with quadratic utility can separate her asset allocation decision into two steps: First, find the tangency portfolio (TP), i.e., the portfolio of risky assets that maximizes the Sharpe ratio (SR); and then, decide on the mix of the TP and the risk-free asset, depending on the investor’s attitude toward risk. In this paper, we describe an...

We derive an intertemporal capital asset pricing model with multiple assets and heterogeneous investors, and explore its implications for the behavior of trading volume and asset returns. Assets contain two types of risks: market risk and the risk of changing market conditions. We show that investors trade only in two portfolios: the market portfolio, and a hedging portfolio, which allows them ...

This paper derives in closed form the optimal dynamic portfolio policy when trading is costly and security returns are predictable by signals with different mean-reversion speeds. The optimal updated portfolio is a linear combination of the existing portfolio, the optimal portfolio absent trading costs, and the optimal portfolio based on future expected returns and transaction costs. Predictors...