نتایج جستجو برای: روش arfima
تعداد نتایج: 369809 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this paper we consider the problem of comparison two strictly stationary processes. The novelty our approach is that all their d-dimensional joint distributions, for $$d\geqslant 1$$ . Our procedure consists in expanding densities a multivariate orthogonal basis and comparing k first coefficients. dimension d to number coefficients compare view performing test can growth with sample size are...
در این مطالعه، با استفاده از داده های ماهیانه نرخ ارز غیررسمی طی دوره زمانی 1359- 1388، به بررسی حافظه بلند بودن نرخ ارز غیررسمی ایران و تأثیر تکانه های نرخ ارز بر نا اطمینانی اسمی آن پرداخته شده است. نتایج آزمون حافظه بلند بودن نشان میدهد که سری نرخ ارز غیر رسمی در ایران، حافظه بلند بوده و در نتیجه، آثار تکانه های وارده بر آن تا دورههای طولانی باقی می ماند. پس از تایید حافظه بلند بودن نرخ ا...
Improvement in Forecasting Accuracy Using the Hybrid Model of ARFIMA and Feed Forward Neural Network
Time series forecasting using machine learning algorithms has gained popularity recently. Random forest is a machine learning algorithm implemented in time series forecasting; however, most of its forecasting properties have remained unexplored. Here we focus on assessing the performance of random forests in one-step forecasting using two large datasets of short time series with the aim to sugg...
This study investigates the effects of varying sampling intervals on the long memory characteristics of certain stochastic processes. We find that although different sampling intervals do not affect the decay rate of discrete time long memory autocorrelation functions in large lags, the autocorrelation functions in short lags are affected significantly. The level of the autocorrelation function...
Recently, the visibility graph has been introduced as a novel view for analyzing time series, which maps it to a complex network. In this paper, we introduce a new algorithm of visibility, ”cross-visibility”, which reveals the conjugation of two coupled time series. The correspondence between the two time series is mapped to a network, ”the cross-visibility graph”, to demonstrate the correlatio...
What dynamics govern a time series representing the appearance of words in social media data? In this paper, we investigate an elementary dynamics, from which word-dependent special effects are segregated, such as breaking news, increasing (or decreasing) concerns, or seasonality. To elucidate this problem, we investigated approximately three billion Japanese blog articles over a period of six ...
A moment bound for the normalized conditional-sum-of-squares (CSS) estimate of a general autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model with an arbitrary unknown memory parameter is derived in this paper. To achieve this goal, a uniform moment bound for the inverse of the normalized objective function is established. An important application of these results is to establis...
هدف: پژوهش حاضر با هدف ساخت برنامه داربستسازی انگیزشی و تعیین اثربخشی آن بر جهتگیریهای هدفی ارزیابیهای شناختیوالدین انجام شد. روش: پس از طراحی آموزشی داربست سازی اساس نقشه نگاری مداخله، به منظور بررسی شبهآزمایشی طرح پیشآزمون ـ پسآزمون همراه پیگیری گروه گواه استفاده جامعه آماری شامل تمامی والدین دانشآموزان پایه هشتم منطقة 4 آموزش پرورش شهر تهران نمونة نیز 30 مادر دارای فرزند کلاس هفتم ب...
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