نتایج جستجو برای: wind power uncertainty

تعداد نتایج: 667114  

2017
Xiao Liu Xu Lai Jin Zou Sukanta Basu

In this paper, a missing wind speed data temporal interpolation and extrapolation method in the wind energy industry was investigated. Given that traditional methods have previously ignored part of mixed uncertainty of wind speed, a concrete granular computing method is constructed and a new Measure–Correlate–Predict (MCP) method of wind speed data temporal interpolation and extrapolation consi...

2009
M. Anitescu

We present a computational framework for integrating the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in stochastic unit commitment/energy dispatch formulations that account for wind power uncertainty. We first enhance the WRF model with adjoint sensitivity analysis capabilities and a sampling technique implemented in a distributed-memory parallel computing architecture. We use...

2017
Xiyun Yang Guo Fu Yanfeng Zhang Ning Kang Feng Gao

Intermittency and uncertainty pose great challenges to the large-scale integration of wind power, so research on the probabilistic interval forecasting of wind power is becoming more and more important for power system planning and operation. In this paper, a Naive Bayesian wind power prediction interval model, combining rough set (RS) theory and particle swarm optimization (PSO), is proposed t...

2016
Xiaohua Zhang Jun Xie Zhengwei Zhu Jianfeng Zheng Hao Qiang Hailong Rong

In this paper, the uncertainty of wind, solar and load; smart charging and discharging of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) to and from various energy sources; and the coordination of wind, solar power, PHEVs and cost-emission are considered in the smart grid unit commitment (UC). First, a multi-scenario simulation is used in which a set of valid scenarios is considered for the uncertain...

Wind power generation is variable and uncertain. In the power systems with high penetration of wind power, determination of equivalent operating reserve is the main concern of systems operator. In this paper, a model is proposed to determine operating reserves in simultaneous market clearing of energy and reserve by stochastic programming based on scenarios generated via Monte Carlo simulation ...

2017
Kai Lin Guochu Chen

Impeller (blade and wheel) is one of the key components of wind turbine. According to different degrees of leaf and root damage and hub damage amount, a multi-objective scheduling model of wind farm with wind turbine impeller damage, wind turbine startup rate, and the uncertainty of the output of generator is established to improve the model output allocation strategy. Then optimize the model w...

2016
Erwin Walraven Matthijs T. J. Spaan

Renewable energy sources introduce uncertainty regarding generated power in smart grids. For instance, power that is generated by wind turbines is time-varying and dependent on the weather. Electric vehicles will become increasingly important in the development of smart grids with a high penetration of renewables, because their flexibility makes it possible to charge their batteries when renewa...

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