On April 1, 2003, we published a set of contingent predictions about the likely length of the U.S.–Iraq war that began on March 19, 2003. The predictions were made by applying the statistical model of war duration developed in Bennett and Stam (1996). In this article, we assess the accuracy of our (then) forecast, and then present new predictions from the model about the expected length of a pu...

1College of Medicine, Tikrit, Iraq. 2Public Health Laboratory, Al-Tameem, Iraq. 3Directorate of Health, Al-Tameem, Iraq. Received: 12/02/2002; accepted: 14/05/2002 ABSTRACT To determine the rates of malarial infection in different areas of Al-Tameem province, we conducted a cross-sectional study from 1991 to 2000. We found an overall infection rate of 0.76% by Plasmodium vivax. Infection rates ...

In a New York Times op-ed earlier this year (April 9, 2003), Steve Clemons of the New America Foundation has proposed that Iraq establish an Alaska-style oil fund that would pay annual dividends to the citizens of Iraq.ii In Alaska, revenues from oil leases have been invested in a permanent fund, which has grown to $23.5 billion in 2002; part of the fund’s income is now distributed directly to ...

1Department of Medicine; 2Department of Community Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq (Correspondence to A.M. Al-Abbassi: [email protected]). Received: 26/06/02; accepted: 15/09/04 ABSTRACT An epidemic of cholera in Iraq was anticipated for the year 1999 and a plan of notification and treatment of cases of diarrhoea was made. This paper documents the clinical a...

Although the tactic of suicide terrorism is thousands of years old, it has appeared in Iraq at unprecedented levels. The predominance of suicide terrorism in the insurgency has led scholars to embrace two diametrically opposed theoretical frameworks. Whereas Huntington’s framework explains suicide terrorism in Iraq as the result of a clash of civilizations between the Western and Islamic worlds...

1Department of Dermatology, College of Medicine, University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. 2Department of Community Medicine, Saddam Medical College, Saddam University, Baghdad, Iraq (Correspondence to W. A. Al-Kubaisy: [email protected]). 3Department of Community Medicine, College of Medicine, Al-Mustansiriyah University, Baghdad, Iraq. Received: 13/09/01; accepted: 07/04/04 ABSTRACT To determin...

1Department of Pathology; 2Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, College of Medicine, University of Duhok, Duhok, Iraq (Correspondence to A.H. Razzak: [email protected]). 3Department of Microbiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Duhok, Duhok, Iraq. ABSTRACT To identify the true contribution of toxoplasmosis to fetal loss and bad obstetric history, we tested 310 women, 77.4...

Iran and Iraq war data were obtained from internet and curve-fitted with Lanchester/Osipov war model. It was found that the data obeys the square law and that the war was a mixed one of 10.8% guerilla and 89.2% conventional as depicted by their parameters in the model. Also it was found that Iraq heavily used Chemical weapon (e.g. mustard gas, arsenic, mytotoxic) against Iranian soldiers. This ...

Aggressive and unsafe driving was examined in 474 male veterans receiving Veterans Affairs residential treatment for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Specifically, the authors evaluated if PTSD was associated with aggressive and unsafe driving and if Iraq and Afghanistan War veterans were at higher risk than other war veterans. Approximately two thirds of the sample reported lifetime aggre...