<p align="center"> <strong>Modelizando la Psicología Electoral. Comprendiendo el comportamiento del votante en siglo XXI.</strong></p><p><strong>Abstract</strong></p><p>Among the existing literature on understanding of electoral behaviour, a new work has appeared: <em>Inside Mind Voter. A New Approach to Electoral Psychology</em>...

We match individual senators’ voting behavior on legislative proposals with 24 real referenda decisions on exactly the same issues with identical wording. This setting allows us to evaluate the median voter model’s quality with revealed constituents’ preferences. Results indicate a limited explanatory power of the median voter model: It explains 17.6 percentage points more than random voting an...

Why do the poor vote against redistribution? We experimentally examine one explanation, namely that individuals gain direct expressive utility from voting in accordance with their ideology and understand they are unlikely to be pivotal; hence, their expressive utility, even if arbitrarily small, determines their voting behavior. In contrast with a basic prediction of this explanation, we …nd th...

Members of a shareholder meeting or legislative committee have greater or smaller voting power than meets the eye if the nucleolus of the induced majority game di ers from the voting weight distribution. We establish a new su cient condition for the weight and power distributions to be equal; and we characterize the limit behavior of the nucleolus in case all relative weights become small. JEL ...

The question of why members parliament (MPs) overwhelmingly toe the party line is receiving increasing scholarly attention. Adding to discipline-based approaches, loyalty, that is, a feeling allegiance not related policy agreement or disciplinary pressures, an important part explanation. In this article, we employ more nuanced view on loyalty than previous observational studies and conceptualiz...

This paper uses state-level election returns and individual-level survey data to show that American voters have systematically punished the incumbent party for extreme weather in presidential election years. A moderate drought has cost the incumbent party an average of 2.6 percent of the presidential vote in rural areas, with no significant effect in urban and suburban areas. Weather’s impact h...