There are several researches that deal with the behavior of SEs and their relationships with different economical factors. These range from papers dealing with this subject through econometrical procedures to statistical methods known as copula. This article considers the impact of oil and gold price on Tehran Stock Exchange market (TSE). Oil and gold are two factors that are essential for the ...

Changes in stock price will be influenced by many aspects of factors. When we are predicting stock price, it is difficult to build a determined mathematical model between stock prices and these complex factors. This paper first utilizes ε − SVM (ε − support vector machine) to build a stock price prediction model. By fitting the prediction error sequence, we find the law factors, which the predi...

Crude oil exerts a strong influence on national economy. Changes of international crude oil price have an important effect on Chinese economy because of China’s high dependence on the import of the crude oil. Thus, Chinese stock market can be shocked by the fluctuation of oil price. Reversely, changes in crude oil imports of China have some effect on demands and price of the crude oil. This art...

financial derivatives are new instruments through which hedging, investment and arbitrage are done in a modern economy. although the word 'derivative'primarily reminds us of options and futures, the major focus of the equity derivatives industry worldwide is on index derivatives. launching index options and index futures in tehran stock exchange, not only increases financial market de...

A new recursive regression methodology is introduced to analyze the bubble characteristics of various financial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods modify a technique proposed in Phillips, Wu, and Yu (2011) and provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior with consistent dating of their origi-nation and collapse. The tests serve as an early warning diagnostic of bubble a...

An optimal investment problem is solved for an insider who has access to noisy information related to a future stock price, but who does not know the stock price drift. The drift is filtered from a combination of price observations and the privileged information, fusing a partial information scenario with enlargement of filtration techniques. We apply a variant of the Kalman-Bucy filter to infe...

This paper thoroughly integrates speculative bubbles to corporate finance literature by focusing on dividend policy issues. More specifically, we examine the importance of when testing for in S&P 500 equity index a data set spanning 1871 2014. Given phenomenon smoothing, particular U.S., question usefulness observed payments as fundamental factor bubbles. Circumventing construct hypothetical pa...

Objective: Market anomalieschange with economic conditions, stock markets, selected samples, time periods and differences between industries. Revision of past forecasts leads to forecast error. The revisions result from new information. On the other hand, some managers slowly revise their forecasts in responding to new information. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to investigate the r...

We perform non-linear analysis on stock market indices using time-dependent extended Tsallis statistics. Specifically, we evaluate the q-triplet for particular time periods with purpose of demonstrating temporal dependence characteristics underlying dynamics. apply daily close price timeseries four major global markets (S&P 500, Tokyo-NIKKEI, Frankfurt-DAX, London-LSE). For comparison, also com...