نتایج جستجو برای: technological forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 124741 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
[1] In this work we demonstrate that the combination of agent-based modeling and simulation constitutes a useful methodological approach to dealing with the complexity derived from multiple factors with influence in the domestic water management in emergent metropolitan areas. In particular, we adapt and integrate different social submodels, models of urban dynamics, water consumption, and tech...
Typically, firms decide whether or not to develop a new product based on their resources, capabilities and the return on investment that the product is estimated to generate. We propose that firms adopt a broader heuristic for making new product development choices. Our heuristic approach requires moving beyond traditional finance-based thinking, and suggests that firms concentrate on technolog...
Scope and applications Early on, social-computing studies focused on technological and user acceptance issues surrounding computer-supported collaborative work and groupware. In the last 10 years, the scope of socialcomputing research and practice has expanded tremendously with the adoption of Web and mobile technologies and with the virtualization of many facets of everyday life. From a method...
The aim of the short term load forecasting is to forecast the electric power load for unit commitment, evaluating the reliability of the system, economic dispatch, and so on. Short term load forecasting obviously plays an important role in traditional non-cooperative power systems. Moreover, in a restructured power system a generator company (GENCO) should predict the system demand and its corr...
In this paper, we presented the performance of forecasting model and error correction will affect the accuracy of short-term load forecasting. Least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) based on improved particle swarm optimization is selected as load forecasting model. Forecasting accuracy and generalization performance of LS-SVM depend on selection of its parameters greatly. Adaptive part...
Hybrid model is a popular forecasting model in renewable energy related forecasting applications. Wind speed forecasting, as a common application, requires fast and accurate forecasting models. This paper introduces an Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) followed by a k Nearest Neighbor (kNN) hybrid model for wind speed forecasting. Two configurations of EMD-kNN are discussed in details: an EMD-...
With increasing importance being attached to big data mining, analysis, and forecasting in the field of wind energy, how to select an optimization model to improve the forecasting accuracy of the wind speed time series is not only an extremely challenging problem, but also a problem of concern for economic forecasting. The artificial intelligence model is widely used in forecasting and data pro...
Artificial neural networks have emerged as an important quantitative modeling tool for business forecasting. This chapter provides an overview of forecasting with neural networks. We provide a brief description of neural networks, their advantages over traditional forecasting models, and their applications for business forecasting. In addition, we address several important modeling issues for f...
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