It is widely recognised that flood risk needs to be taken into account when designing a storm sewer network. Flood risk is generally a combination of flood consequences and flood probabilities. This paper aims to explore the decision making in flood risk based storm sewer network design. A multiobjective optimization is proposed to find the Pareto front of optimal designs in terms of low constr...

One of the most important methods of opacity accounting information by management is to accelerate the identification of good news versus delaying the identification of bad news on profits, but there is always a final level of accumulation of bad news in the company, and by reaching that its final level, these bad news will be released, which will lead to a Stock Price Crash Risk. In fact, stoc...

We study a Mean-Risk model derived from a behavioral theory of Disappointment with multiple reference points. One distinguishing feature of the risk measure is that it is based on mutual deviations of outcomes, not deviations from a specific target. We prove necessary and sufficient conditions for strict first and second order stochastic dominance, and show that the model is, in addition, a Con...

Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath ([1]) initialized a new direction to assess risks of financial positions by an axiomatic approach. It relies fundamentally on the concept of risk measures, which are functionals on sets of financial positions satisfying some basic properties. The convex risk measures are exactly those ones which guarantee that diversification does not increase the risk. From the...

During the last decades, the use of information theoretic criteria (ITC) for selecting the order of autoregressive (AR) models has increased constantly. Because the ITC are derived under the strong assumption that the measured signals are stationary, it is not straightforward to employ them in combination with the forgetting factor least-squares algorithms. In the previous literature, the attem...

aim : the aim of this study was to compare alternatives methods for analysis of zero inflated count data and compare them with simple count models that are used by researchers frequently for such zero inflated data. background : analysis of viral load and risk factors could predict likelihood of achieving sustain virological response (svr). this information is useful to protect a person from ac...

This paper investigates a risk-averse inventory model by balancing the expected profit and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in a newsvendor model setting. We find out that: i) The optimal order quantity is increasing in the shortage cost for both the CVaR only criterion and the tradeoff objective. ii) For the case of zero shortage cost, the optimal order quantity to the CVaR criterion or tradeo...

The problem of controlling a noisy process so as to prevent it from leaving a prescribed set has a number of interesting applications. In this paper, new criteria for this problem are considered. First, a risk-sensitive criterion for a stochastic diffusion process model is examined, and it is shown that the value is a classical solution of a related PDE. The qualitative properties of this crite...