Bayes linear kinematics and graphical models provide an extension of methods so that full conditional updates may be combined with belief adjustment. The use eliminates the problem non-commutativity which was observed in earlier work involving moment-based updates. In this paper we describe approach investigate its application to rapid computation prognostic index values survival when a patient...

In unidentifiable models, the Bayes estimation has the advantage of generalization performance over the maximum likelihood estimation. However, accurate approximation of the posterior distribution requires huge computational costs. In this paper, we consider an alternative approximation method, which we call a subspace Bayes approach. A subspace Bayes approach is an empirical Bayes approach whe...

Bordetella pertussis, B. bronchiseptica, B. parapertussis(hu), and B. parapertussis(ov) are closely related respiratory pathogens that infect mammalian species. B. pertussis and B. parapertussis(hu) are exclusively human pathogens and cause whooping cough, or pertussis, a disease that has resurged despite vaccination. Although it most often infects animals, infrequently B. bronchiseptica is iso...

For the problem of variable selection for the normal linear model, fixed penalty selection criteria such as AIC, Cp, BIC and RIC correspond to the posterior modes of a hierarchical Bayes model for various fixed hyperparameter settings. Adaptive selection criteria obtained by empirical Bayes estimation of the hyperparameters have been shown by George and Foster [2000. Calibration and Empirical B...