a r t i c l e i n f o In this work we develop a new approach to study the energy import resilience of an economy using linear programming and economic input–output analysis. In particular, we propose an energy import resilience index by examining the maximum level of energy import reduction that the economy can endure without sacrificing domestic demands. A mixed integer programming model is th...

Petroleum (crude oil) is one of the most important resources of energy and its demand and consumption is growing while it is a non-renewable energy resource. Hence forecasting of its demand is necessary to plan appropriate strategies for managing future requirements. In this paper, three types of time series methods including univariate Seasonal ARIMA, Winters forecasting and Transfer Function-...

In Fiji, imports as a share of GDP has been rising strongly, particularly over the past three decades. Over these years imports have fluctuated considerably, generally in line with fluctuations in aggregate demand. Fiji is a small island state, heavily dependent on external trade for many of our essential goods. It is vital, therefore to always ensure that we have adequate foreign reserves to p...

Emerging markets experienced strong growth since the years 2002–2003, and this was especially the case for import markets in Russia. Many border-sharing countries, as well as nearby sea ports, terminal areas and logistics service companies, benefited from it and revenue growth was the norm for years. This was also the case in Finland, more specifically for South-East cities such as Kotka and Ko...

The United States has been increasing the import of wooden bedroom furniture from the world to meet its domestic needs. Traditional suppliers have been substituted by developing countries such as China and Vietnam over the past decade. To explain this market structure change, a dynamic Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) was employed to analyze this import market. Monthly import data of the top s...

Many livestock sector models have limited coverage of relevant variables, and are somewhat ad hoc in their choice of what should be specified as behavioral equations. This study develops a generic conceptual approach to modeling the livestock sector that provides consistent rules of specification and better coverage of variables. This approach is then applied to the swine-pork sector of Japan. ...

the sources of output growth of iranian agriculture over the years 1986-2001 has been examined, using a decomposition method within the input-output (io) framework. the three comparable io tables of 1986, 1991, and 2001 have been employed as the main data sources. output changes from a demand side perspective, and decomposition of the growth of output into components attributable to consumption...