Inflation targeting needs to be supplemented by an economic growth target so that central banks will not adopt monetary policy which results in stagnation. There is no guarantee that the economy will move towards full employment by itself when the inflation rate is kept between two to three per cent. Monetary policy does not have a comparative advantage in achieving price stability. Svensson's ...

We construct a dynamic panel error correction model of the Australian labour market using macroeconomic data across seven states and 27 years. Using panel cointegration tests, and fully modified OLS estimates, we test 3 competing long run hypotheses: real wage-productivity relation; real wage-marginal disutility relation; and the wage curve hypothesis. We find evidence to prefer the first. The ...

This paper estimates a structural New Keynesian model to test whether globalization has changed the behavior of U.S. macroeconomic variables. Several key coefficients in the model – such as the slopes of the Phillips and IS curves, the sensitivities of domestic inflation and output to “global” output, and so forth – are allowed in the estimation to depend on the extent of globalization (modeled...

In the framework of a Keynesian monetary macro model we study implications of a kinked Phillips-Curve and alternativemonetary policy rules. As alternative monetary policy rules we consider monetary growth targeting and interest rate targeting (the Taylor rule). Our monetary macro model exhibits: asset market clearing, disequilibrium in product and labor markets, sluggish price and quantity adju...

In this paper we introduce a small Keynesian model of economic growth which is centered around two advanced types of Phillips curves, one for money wages and one for prices, both being augmented by perfect myopic foresight and supplemented by a measure of the medium-term inflationary climate updated in an adaptive fashion. The model contains two potentially destabilizing feedback chains, the so...

This paper revisits the relationship between unemployment and inflation in long-run through lens of a New-Keynesian model augmented with downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR). It finds that when labor market is affected by DNWR, this goes beyond tradeoff first moments provided short-run Phillips curve. Higher volatility raises at low-frequency. Increased makes wages more volatile but constrains...

We determine optimal discretionary monetary policy in a New-Keynesian model when nominal interest rates are bounded below by zero. Nominal interest rates should be lowered faster in response to adverse shocks than in the case without bound. Such ‘preemptive easing’ is optimal because expectations of a possibly binding bound in the future amplify the e ects of adverse shocks. Calibrating the mod...