In a model of oligopolistic competition in the banking sector, we analyse how the monetary policy rule chosen by the Central Bank can in ̄uence the incentive of banks to set high interest rates on loans over the business cycle. We exploit the basic model to investigate the potential impact of EMU implementation on collusion among banks. In particular, we consider the possible e€ects of the Europ...

This paper presents a toolkit for generating optimal policy projections. It makes five contributions. First, the requires minimal set of inputs: only baseline projection target and instrument variables impulse responses those to shocks. Second, it solves projections under commitment, limited-time discretion. Third, handles multiple instruments. Fourth, constraints on instruments such as lower b...

Achieving the 2030 sustainable development goals (SDGs) in Nigeria requires and inclusive economic growth. There is no consensus among economists on effect of monetary policy The results previous studies growth are mixed. main objective this paper to evaluate order ascertain if can be used achieve SDGs Nigeria. from 1991 2020 was evaluated using ordinary least squares regression model. findings...

This paper studies an advantage of commitment over discretion when a central bank observes only noisy measures of current inflation and output, in the context of an optimizing model with nominal-price stickiness. Under a commitment regime, if current policy turns out to be too expansionary (contractionary) because of the bank’s information problem, subsequent policies should be slightly contrac...

We analyze a simple strategic model of interaction between central bank and labor union. We assume that the intransparency of the central bank (labor union) induces Knightian uncertainty faced by the labor union (central bank). Knightian uncertainty means that decision makers are unable to make exact probability judgements. It is modelled by Choquet Expected Utility Theory and its recent applic...

This paper explores the determinants of alternative monetary aggregates in Euroland. A sample consisting of quarterly data covering the 1980:1–1998:4 period is considered. We are interested whether a conventionally defined money demand equation is stable in some aggregates as opposed to others. Both long-run and short-run relationships are considered in this paper. Overall, the results indicate...

This paper investigates the usefulness of information criteria for inference on the number of structural breaks in a standard linear regression model. In particular, we propose a modified penalty function for such criteria based on theoretical arguments, which implies each break is equivalent to estimation of three individual regression coefficients. A Monte Carlo analysis compares information ...

This paper examines the impact of anticipated and unanticipated monetary policy announcements, of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee on UK sectoral stock returns. The monetary policy shock is generated from the change in the three-month sterling LIBOR futures contract. Using a panel GMM estimator we find that both the expected and unexpected components of monetary changes are signi...

Forward-looking monetary models with Taylor-type interest rate rules are known to generate indeterminacies, with a potential dependence on extraneous “sunspots,” for some structural and policy parameters. We investigate the stability of these solutions under adaptive learning, focusing on “common factor” or “resonant frequency” representations in which the observed sunspot has a suitable time-s...