We use Bayesian statistical methods to compare the habit persistence asset pricing model of Campbell and Cochrane, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron, and the prospect theory model of Barberis, Huang, and Santos. We undertake two types of comparisons, relative and absolute, over two sample periods, 1930–2008 and 1950–2008, using two series, univariate U.S. stock returns and bivariate ...

The aim of this article is to investigate the dynamic correlation between the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty index (GEPU) and Non-Performing Loans (NPL) in Iran. The relationship between economic uncertainty and banking performance indices is significant because of the systemic importance of banks in every economy. We evaluated this relationship in this developing country, especially under ...

This paper introduces new ways to construct probability integral transforms of random vectors that complement the approach of Diebold, Hahn, and Tay (1999) for evaluating multivariate conditional density forecasts. Our approach enables us to “scan” multivariate densities in various different ways. A simple bivariate normal example is given that illustrates how “scanning” a multivariate density ...

Multivariate GARCH models are in principle able to accommodate the features of the dynamic conditional correlations processes, although with the drawback, when the number of financial returns series considered increases, that the parameterizations entail too many parameters.In general, the interaction between model parametrization of the second conditional moment and the conditional density of ...

theories and the existing studies predict different the relationship between external financing and investing activities and the stock returns. but almost of them predict that there is negative relationship separately between financing and investing activities with stock returns. this study examined the assumption that there is a significantly negative relationship between external financing ac...