نتایج جستجو برای: climate change scenarios

تعداد نتایج: 773517  

Journal: :اکو هیدرولوژی 0
هادی نظری پویا دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا اقلیم‏شناسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران پرویز کردوانی استاد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران، ایران عبدالرضا فرجی راد استاد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران، ایران

climate change is one of the most important factors that will affect different parts of human life on earth and will be adverse effects on environmental resources, economic, social and especially water resources, with changes in rainfall and timing of runoff amount.one of the strategies to mitigate the effects of climate change is to assess its effects on precipitation, temperature and runoff i...

2017
Kristie L. Ebi Stephane Hallegatte Tom Kram Nigel W. Arnell Timothy R. Carter Jae Edmonds Elmar Kriegler Ritu Mathur Brian C. O’Neill Keywan Riahi Harald Winkler Detlef P. Van Vuuren Timm Zwickel

The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation ...

Journal: :The Journal of Applied Ecology 2009
Kären C Nelson Margaret A Palmer James E Pizzuto Glenn E Moglen Paul L Angermeier Robert H Hilderbrand Michael Dettinger Katharine Hayhoe

Streams collect runoff, heat, and sediment from their watersheds, making them highly vulnerable to anthropogenic disturbances such as urbanization and climate change. Forecasting the effects of these disturbances using process-based models is critical to identifying the form and magnitude of likely impacts. Here, we integrate a new biotic model with four previously developed physical models (do...

Journal: Desert 2015

Two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) and the Statistical Down–Scaling Model (SDSM) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the Tarim River basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (GCMs) (CSIRO30, ECHAM5,and GFDL21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...

Gh.R. Roshan, S.W. Grab

We simulate the effect of climate change on water requirements of cold seasonwheat in various climatic zones of Iran. The research considers both observedclimate (temperature and precipitation) changes during recent decades (1960-2009)based on instrumental records and projected future changes to 2100 based on theMAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 compound model. 20 General Circulation models are usedbased on a...

Journal: :اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی 0
ندا اسد فلسفی زاده محمود صبوحی صابونی

climate change phenomenon is an important environmental challenge of the world that has increased its speed with the increasing extension of greenhouse gases and remote relationship phenomena. changes in precipitation level, drought occurrence and in the level of surface and groundwater resources are the recognized consequences of climate change. in order to study climate change phenomenon cons...

2015
Jonathan R. Mosedale Robert J. Wilson Ilya M. D. Maclean Juan A. Añel

The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit from the higher growing season temperatures predicted under future climate scenarios. Yet the effects of climate change on the risk of adverse weather conditions or events at key stages of crop development are not always captured by aggregated measures of seasonal or yearly climates, or by downsca...

Abstract    Considering that water resources are at risk from climate change, the study of temperature and precipitation changes in the coming years can lead to droughts such as droughts, sudden floods, high evaporation and environmental degradation. To this end, global climate models (GCMs) are designed to assess climate change. The outputs of these models have low spatial accuracy. In order ...

Although turtles are the most threatened taxonomic group within the reptile class, we have a very limited understanding of how turtles respond to climate change. Here, we evaluated the effects of climate changes on the geographical distribution of Caspian pond turtle (Mauremys caspica). We used an ensemble approach by combining six species distribution models including artificial neural network...

2015
R. A. Betts N. Golding P. Gonzalez J. Gornall R. Kahana G. Kay L. Mitchell A. Wiltshire

A new generation of an Earth system model now includes a number of land-surface processes directly relevant to analyzing potential impacts of climate change. This model, HadGEM2-ES, allows us to assess the impacts of climate change, multiple interactions, and feedbacks as the model is run. This paper discusses the results of centuryscale HadGEM2-ES simulations from an impacts perspective – spec...

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