In this paper, we document that an application of a moving average timing strategy of technical analysis to portfolios sorted by volatility generates investment timing portfolios that substantially outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. For high-volatility portfolios, the abnormal returns, relative to the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the Fama-French 3-factor models, are of great econom...

The duo of Fama and French is most famous for their 1992 and 1993 papers documenting strong historical value and size effects. (Fama is also famous – or infamous, depending on your perspective – for his association with the efficient market hypothesis.) The core observation of Fama and French’s seminal papers was that the returns on small-company and value stocks – those with high book-to-marke...

This paper uses minimum-variance (MV) admissible kernels to estimate risk premia associated with economic risk variables and to test multi-beta models. Estimating risk premia using MV kernels is appealing because it avoids the need to 1) identify all relevant sources of risk and 2) assume a linear factor model for asset returns. Testing multi-beta models in terms of restricted MV kernels has th...

We consider a financial market in which two securities are traded: a stock and an index. Their prices are assumed to satisfy the Black–Scholes model. Besides assuming that the index is a tradable security, we also assume that it is efficient, in the following sense: we do not expect a prespecified self-financing trading strategy whose wealth is almost surely nonnegative at all times to outperfo...

The observed patterns of equity portfolio allocation around the world are at odds with predictions from a capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What has come to be called the “home-bias” phenomenon is that investors tend to hold a disproportionately large share of their equity portfolio in home country stocks as compared with predictions of the CAPM. This paper provides an explanation of the home...

Size and book to market ratio are both highly correlated with the average returns of common stocks. Fama and French (1993) argue that these effects are proxies for factors of risk. In this study, we try to test the three factor model of Fama and French and the Capital Asset Pricing Model on French Stock Market. We use returns on the Fama and French six portfolios sorted by size and book to mark...

Two different methods are used to evaluate the performance of the consumption-based asset pricing models to explain the cross-section of expected stock returns in conditional moments: one is to scale the returns, and the other is to model time-varying factor loadings, using instrument variables. Maximum correlation portfolios are constructed to directly impose restrictions on the time-series in...

Article history: Received 6 September 2011 Accepted 13 February 2012 Available online 8 March 2012 A number of recent papers have developed multifactor extensions of the classic consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) and generally concluded that conditioning information improves the empirical performance. This paper asks whether the superior empirical performance of the multifactor CCA...