A significant problem in modern finance theory is how to price assets whose payoffs are outside the span of marketed assets. In practice, prices of assets are often assigned by using the Capital Asset Pricing Model. If the market portfolio is efficient, the price obtained this way is equal to the price of an asset whose payoff, viewed as a vector in a Hilbert space of random variables, is proje...

We find that past stock market variance forecasts excess stock market returns and that its predictive ability is greatly enhanced if the consumption-wealth ratio is also included in the forecasting equation. While the risk-return tradeoff is found negative if we use the latter as the instrumental variable for the conditional moments, the former suggests a positive one. We argue that the consump...

In this paper we derive the finite-sample distribution of the estimated weights of the tangency portfolio when both the population and the sample covariance matrices are singular. These results are used in the derivation of a statistical test on the weights of the tangency portfolio where the distribution of the test statistic is obtained under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. More...

We consider a simple CAPM with heterogenous expectations on assets’ mean returns and homogenous expectations on the covariance of returns. In this model alpha-opportunities naturally arise in a financial market equilibrium. We show that that the hunt for alpha-opportunities is a zero-sum game and that alpha-opportunities erode with the assets under management. Moreover, it is shown that a posit...

a r t i c l e i n f o A large number of researches have shown that the negative return of risky asset exists and has the profound significance whether for actual investment or theory studies. This paper investigates the effect of sentiment by establishing the sentiment asset pricing model, and explores the negative expected return when the parameters change in different situations. We provide t...

Article history: Received 6 September 2011 Accepted 13 February 2012 Available online 8 March 2012 A number of recent papers have developed multifactor extensions of the classic consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) and generally concluded that conditioning information improves the empirical performance. This paper asks whether the superior empirical performance of the multifactor CCA...

In this paper, we develop and test asset pricing model formulations that are simultaneously conditional and nonlinear. Formulations based upon five popular asset pricing models are tested against the widely studied Fama and French (1993) twenty-five size and book-tomarket sorted portfolios. Test results indicate that the conditional nonlinear specification of the Fama and French (1993) three st...

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimating systematic risk (the beta of an asset). The proposed method is based on a wavelet multiscaling approach that decomposes a given time series on a scale-by-scale basis. The empirical results from different economies show that the relationship between the return of a portfolio and its beta becomes stronger as the wavelet scale increases. Theref...

We consider a financial market in which two securities are traded: a stock and an index. Their prices are assumed to satisfy the Black–Scholes model. Besides assuming that the index is a tradable security, we also assume that it is efficient, in the following sense: we do not expect a prespecified self-financing trading strategy whose wealth is almost surely nonnegative at all times to outperfo...

We investigate the risk-return relation in international stock markets using realized variance constructed from MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) daily stock price indices. In contrast with the capital asset pricing model, realized variance by itself provides negligible information about future excess stock market returns; however, we uncover a positive and significant risk-return tra...