We investigate the impact of measures of uncertainty on firms’ capital investment behavior using a panel of U.S. firms. Increases in firmspecific and CAPM -based measures have a significant negative effect on investment spending, while market-based uncertainty has a positive impact.

Three major puzzles, described later in this section, have captured the attention of macroeconomic finance: the equity-premium, riskfreerate and equity-volatility puzzles. A common strand of these three asset-return puzzles is that markets are behaving as if investors fear some unknown hidden randomness that isn’t obvious from the data. People are acting in the aggregate like there is much more...

This paper empirically estimates a balanced-growth consistent, dynamic, structural model of intertemporal consumption and asset pricing that allows for, but does not assume, the GulPesendorfer preferences of temptation and self-control, using synthetic panel data constructed from the Consumer Expenditure Survey. One novelty of our model is that the cross-sectional distribution of wealth-consump...

We propose a model in which real interest rates respond to both expected consumption growth and time preferences. Exposures to future consumption growth and time preference interest rate shocks are both priced relative to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM). However, the two types of interest rate risk have different prices, and when el...

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui adanya pengaruh rasio Return On Asset, Growth, dan Free Cash Flow terhadap Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR) pada perusahaan manufakur sektor consumer goods industry yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) tahun 2016-2020. Teknik pengambilan data menggunakan metode purposive sampling. merupakan jenis penelitian kuantitatif sekunder. Sehingga diperoleh sa...

I model a scenario in which investors do not know the payoff distributions of relatively newer firms and use the payoff distribution of similar well-established firms as starting points. The starting distributions are then adjusted for size, volatility, and other differences. Anchoring bias (Tversky and Kahneman (1974)) implies that such adjustments typically fall short. I show that adjusting c...

This paper analyzes a class of stochastic endogenous growth models with uninsurable idiosyncratic income risk. The model economy is populated by infinitely-lived households who own and operate their own business, work for a stock company, and participate in stock and bond markets. Households have timeand state-additive log-utility preferences and production functions exhibit constant returns to...

The paper analyzes the long-run performance of dynamic investment strategies based on fixed-mix portfolio rules. Such rules prescribe rebalancing the portfolio by transferring funds between its positions according to fixed (timeindependent) proportions. The focus is on asset markets where prices fluctuate as stationary stochastic processes. Under very general assumptions, it is shown that any f...

Lifecycle funds offered to retirement plan participants gradually roll down their exposure to stocks while approaching the target date of retirement. This movement away from equities and towards less volatile assets like bonds and cash is done following an asset allocation principle which emphasizes growth of portfolio in the initial years and preservation in the later years. We show that such ...

This paper investes testable restrictions on the time-series behavior of consumption and asset returns implied by a representative agent model with the spirit of capitalism in which intertemporal preference is represented by a utility function that generalizes conventional, time-additive, expected utility. In the recursive structure of preference, we examines the implication for consumption, po...