هديكچ ط ي لاس اه ي خا ي ر پ ي تفرش لباق هظحلام ا ي رد طابترا اب لولس ه ا ي نب ي دا ي لصاح هدش تسا هک ون ي د شخب هار اهراک ي ون ي ن نامرد ي رد ب ي رام ي اه ي بعص جلاعلا م ي .دشاب ا ي ن لولس اه هک رد مامت ناگرا ي مس اه ي دنچ لولس ي روضح ،دنراد اناوت يي سقت ي م و دبت ي ل هب لولس اه يي سب ي را صاصتخا ي ار هتشاد و نچمه ي ن رداق هب اج ي زگ ي ن ...

The purpose of this study is to investigate the factors that affect real exchange rate volatility for Pakistan through the co-integration and error correction model over a 30-year time period, i.e. between 1980 and 2010. The study employed the autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Vector Error Correction model...

The analysis of time series has long been the subject of interest in different fields. For decades time series were analysed with linear models. Nevertheless, an issue that has been raised is whether there exist other models that can explain and fit real data better than linear ones. In this paper, new nonlinear time series models are proposed (namely the ExpAR-ARCH and the ExpAR-GARCH), which ...

Now-a-days, different sectors of the economy are being significantly affected by the electricity variable. In this research, we analyzed the monthly electricity consumption in Pakistan for the period of January 1990 through December 2011, using linear and non linear modeling techniques. They include ARIMA, Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) and ARCH/GARCH models. Electricity consumption model reveals a si...

صخلملا A total of 48 fresh water fishes, belonging to four species of the family Cyprinidae (Capoeta trutta, Chalcalburnus mossulensis, Cyprinion macrostomum and Leuciscus lepidus) were collected from Darbandikhan lake, southwest Sulaimaniya city, Kurdistan region, in the north of Iraq, from March to the end of July 2008. The inspection of gills revealed the infection of these fishes with four ...

ش ي ر ي ن ي فسو ي نا 1 (M.Sc) ، س ي د ما ي د انعر يي س ي تدا 1 (Ph.D) ، ونهد ناسحا ي 1 و 2 (Ph.D) ، قتدمحم ي جرب ي نا ـنجورب ي 1 (M.Sc) زاـنرف ن ي دازك نانمج ي 1 و 3 (M.Sc) 1 هاگشناد هش ي د تشهب ي ، هدكشناد ي سدنهم ي ژرنا ي روانف و ي اه ي ون ي ،ن امزآ ي هاگش بونان ي ژولونكتو ي ، ب هورگ ي ژولونكتو ي 2 هاگشناد برت ي ت هدكشناد ،سردم ي ز مولع ي تس ي 3 هاگشناد ملا...

The purpose of this article is to analyse the trend global gold price yields and volatility with aim making effective financial decisions about investments in precious metal, by applying comparing results ARCH GARCH competing models, using lowest values chosen information criteria. models are intended for time series' analysis, observed instability conditional variance. Gold usually has functio...