the purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of financial liberalization on exchange rate volatilities of the selected developing countries, which are now known as liberalizing countries. thus we test the hypothesis in which financial liberalization effect exchange rate volatilities in 43 selected developing countries during 1996-2005. accordingly, a regression model of exchange rate vol...

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of monetary regime (countries with inflation targeting monetary policy versus countries with exchange rate anchor) on the extent of exchange rate pass-through over the period of 1999-2010. To achieve this objective, the econometric model has been estimated by Dynamic Panel Data approach and Arrelano- Bond (AB) method. The empirical ...

We examine the relation between trading volume and skewness in 11 international stock markets using daily and monthly data from January 1980 to August 2004. We construct single equation and VAR models of the relation between the first three moments of market returns and trading volumes. Our results show hitherto unrecognised channels of influence, and support the investor heterogeneity approach...

Did the unification of commercial and investment banking heighten risk in financial markets due to moral hazard of borrowers? In a simple intertemporal model with moral hazard and uninsured risk, we argue that if financial contracts are properly written, the integration in financial markets could give rise to greater risk sharing arrangement and could eliminate the equity risk premium attribute...

The purpose of this paper is to implement theoretically, the observation that the relative importance of fundamental versus technical analysis in the foreign exchange market depends on the time horizon in currency trade. For shorter time horizons, more weight is placed on technical analysis, while more weight is placed on fundamental analysis for longer horizons. The theoretical framework is th...

In the aftermath of the Taper Tantrum episode, the Central Bank of Brazil announced a major program of intervention in foreign exchange markets on August 2013, with daily sales of FX futures settling in domestic currency swaps that provided insurance against a depreciation of the real. We analyze the effect of that program on the level and volatility of the exchange rate using a synthetic contr...

Today many argue that there appears to be an epidemic case of “fear of floating”. Some have further claimed that credible inflation targeting – a popular regime choice today – and fear of floating are identical regimes. This paper takes a different view. We modify Calvo and Reinhart’s (2002) approach to analyze the behavior of exchange rates, reserves, interest rates and inflation across 88 exc...

A currency area can be a self-validating optimal policy regime, even when monetary unification does not foster real economic integration and intra-industry trade. In our model firms choose the degree of exchange rate pass-through onto export prices accounting for expected monetary policies, and monetary authorities choose optimal policy rules taking firms’ pass-through as given. We show that th...

We employ a multivariate BEKK GARCH model which allows news to affect conditional volatility in an asymmetric manner. The asymmetric model outperforms the standard symmetric model, implying that efficient financial decision makers should not treat good and bad news as homogenous. We estimate the conditional variance and covariance of the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and British pound vis-à-vis the...

Assuming elliptically contoured distribution for portfolio asset returns, we derive the exact marginal and joint densities of the global minimum variance portfolio variance, and weights estimators. We also construct a test for the hypothesis that the global minimum variance is less then or equal to a certain value. A stochastic representation and moments of its estimator is provided. We illustr...