In this paper we extend autoregressive models to fit time series that have three layers of seasonality, i.e. triple seasonal (TSAR) models, and introduce the Bayesian inference for these TSAR models. Assuming model errors are normally distributed employing priors, Jeffreys', g, normal-gamma on parameters, derive marginal posterior distributions parameters. particular, show be multivariate t gam...

1 Spinal Cord Injury Centre Balgrist, University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland 2 Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, UCL Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK 3 Department of Brain Repair and Rehabilitation, UCL Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK 4 Department of Neurophysics, Max Planck Institute for Human Cogni...

Genusa Walker, 1855, a genus currently included in the Hypochrosini, was originally established in the Lymantriidae, and transferred to the Geometridae by Hampson (1895), who designated G. bigutta Walker, 1855 as the type species, and listed G. destituta Walker, 1865, originally described from Cambodia, as a synonym of G. bigutta, though without any explanation. The only literature which compar...

Some of the DNA from the tsar's mitochondria--cellular organelles with their own DNA--didn't quite match that of his living relatives. Forensic experts thought that most people carry only one type of mitochondrial DNA(mtDNA), but the tsar had two: The same site sometimes contained a cytosine and sometimes a thymine. His relatives had only thymine, a mismatch that fueled controversy over the aut...