While the relationship between stock market return and oil price is of great interest to researchers, previous studies do not investigate stock market return with petrochemical products market. In this paper, we analyzed the relationship between prices of main petrochemical products and stock returns of petrochemical companies in Tehran stock exchange. Using a panel data model and GLS estimatio...

This paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in Iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We test the causal relationships between the TEPIX Index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

In a capitalist economy, prices serve to equilibrate supply and demand for goods and services, continually changing to reallocate resources to their most efficient uses. However, secondary stock market prices, often viewed as the most "informationally efficient" prices in the economy, have no direct role in the allocation of equity capital since managers have discretion in determining the level...

We use computer-intensive techniques to study the informational properties of forward-looking disclosures in the MD&A sections of 10-K filings made with the SEC. We find that firms make more forward-looking MD&A disclosures when their stock prices have lower informational efficiency, i.e., when their stock prices poorly reflect future earnings information. The greater levels of forward-looking ...

The article contains an analysis of stock exchange trading on the market in terms attracting speculative capital. authors emphasize that index is a complex indicator calculated through system grouping prices for various financial assets with different price boundaries, respectively; this brings into one indicator. It has been proven futures and options contracts individual institutional investo...

We use recently proposed tests to extract jumps and cojumps from three types of assets: stock index futures, bond futures, and exchange rates. We then characterize the dynamics of these discontinuities and informally relate them to U.S. macroeconomic releases before using limited dependent variable models to formally model how news surprises explain (co)jumps. Nonfarm payroll and federal funds ...

We use panel data at the household level on a complete inventory of household spending and assets to estimate the spending response to the sharp and largely unexpected declines in house and stock market prices that occurred in the Great Recession. Our data span the period 2001-2011, so that we are able to separate trends in spending from innovations in response to unexpected wealth change. We f...

It is well known that in the postwar period stock returns have tended to be low when the short term nominal interest rate is high. In this paper I show that more generally the state of the term structure of interest rates predicts stock returns. Risk premia on stocks appear to move closely together with those on 20—year Treasury bonds, while risk premia on Treasury bills move somewhat independe...