نتایج جستجو برای: scenario
تعداد نتایج: 90525 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
For 20 years, conflict between the planning and process schools of strategy has shaped the debate on strategy creation. Here we argue that a scenario-based approach to strategic planning can serve as an innovative management tool in the field with the potential to overcome discrepancies between the two opposing schools of strategy. The scenario-based approach to strategic planning builds on the...
The systems thinking and modelling framework involve five major phases: problem structuring, causal loop modelling, dynamic modelling, scenario planning & modelling , and implementation & organisational learning. In this paper we propose that stakeholder analysis would enrich the systems thinking and modelling process. Specifically, we explain the importance of stakeholder analysis in the probl...
This paper provides a general overview of creating scenarios for energy policies using Bayesian Network (BN) models. BN is a useful tool to analyze the complex structures, which allows observation of the current structure and basic consequences of any strategic change. This research will propose a decision model that will support the researchers in forecasting and scenario analysis fields. The ...
In the context of sustainable urban development, the application of selected indicators integrated with scenario simulation and analysis can contribute to evidence-based decision making. This paper discusses the application of land use modelling and opportunity mapping approaches to evaluate regional development scenarios for the Greater Dublin Region in the period to 2026 evolving from researc...
The Session Initiation Protocol and H.323 dominate the Voice over IP world. These signaling protocols are responsible for call setup and call tear down by IP telephony solutions. This project analyses and discusses the underlying H.323 and SIP interoperability issues and intends to build a scalable solution for the interoperability of these protocols. The gateway maps the call sequences between...
Finding information within websites is becoming an increasing challenge as the size and the complexity of websites soar. One possible solution is to adapt the view of the site to the task in hand. Although such a procedure is technically feasible, the effectiveness of such designs is yet to be tested. Assuming user scenarios that involve searches by browsing rather than structured queries, we b...
Simulation of climate change in Iran during 2071-2100 using PRECIS regional climate modelling system
Parameters such as future precipitation, temperature, snowfall, and runoff were modeled using PRECIS regionalclimate modeling system in Iran with the horizontal resolutions of 0.44×0.44°C in latitude and longitude under SRESA2 and B2 scenarios. The dataset was based on HadAM3p during the periods of 1961-1990 and 2071-2100. Theoverall precipitation error of the model in the period of 1961-1990 w...
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