We use two different nonparametric methods to determine whether there were multiple regimes in U.S. monetary policy over the period 1955—2003. We model monetary policy using two different versions of Taylor’s rule for the nominal interest rate target. By contrast with parametric tests for regime changes, the nonparametric methods we use allow the data to determine the dimensions on which to spl...

we compare alternative monetary policies for iranian economy that this paper compares alternative monetary policy rules for iranian economy in faces to both internal and external shocks. for this purpose, we investigate the responses of macroeconomic variables respected to the money base and the terms of trade shocks, under three types of monetary rules including fixed exchange rate, inflation ...

  The unprecedented growth of competition in the banking technology has raised the importance of retaining current customers and acquires new customers so that is important analyzing Customer behavior, which is base on bank databases. Analyzing bank databases for analyzing customer behavior is difficult since bank databases are multi-dimensional, comprised of monthly account records and daily t...

In many countries, the monetary policy instrument remains unchanged for a long period and shows infrequent responses to exogenous shocks. The purpose of this paper is to provide a new explanation on why the central bank’s policy instrument remains so unchanged. In the following analysis, we explore how Knightian uncertainty affects optimal monetary policy. We apply the Choquet expected decision...

In many countries, the monetary policy instrument sometimes remains unchanged for a long period and shows infrequent responses to exogenous shocks. The purpose of this paper is to provide a new explanation on why the central bank’s policy instrument remains unchanged. In the following analysis, we explore how uncertainty on the private agents’ expectations affects robust optimal monetary policy...

s from the important role that expectations of future events, such as policy adjustments, play in the problem of time inconsistency. 8 Some analysts argue for rules that adjust another instrument of monetary policy, the monetary base, to keep nominal GDP on target (McCallum 1987, 1988). Interest rate-based rules offer the advantage that they involve little change from the Fed’s current policy-s...

This paper examines how recent econometric policy evaluation research on monetary policy rules can be applied in a practical policymaking environment. According to this research, good policy rules typically call for changes in the federal funds rate in response to changes in the price level or changes in real income. An objective of the paper is to preserve the concept of such a policy rule in ...