This study aims to analyze: 1) the development of demand for craft SMIs products through the use of e-commerce, 2) the effect of e-commerce utilization, macroeconomic conditions, prices, and the intensity of promotion on product demand, 3) the effect of e-commerce utilization, macroeconomic conditions, prices, promotion intensity, and product demand for performance; and 4) the role of product d...

Currency crises tend to affect countries in geographic proximity. This suggests that regional patterns of international trade are important in understanding how currency crises spread, above and beyond any macroeconomic phenomena. Using data for five different currency crises (in 1971, 1973, 1992, 1994, and 1997) we show that currency crises affect countries tied together by international trade...

Executive Summary Currency crises tend to be regional. Since macroeconomic and financial phenomena are not regional, these phenomena are unimportant in understanding why crises spread. But international trade is regional, as countries tend to trade with their neighbors. This suggests that trade links are important in understanding how currency crises spread, above and beyond any macroeconomic p...

I analyze the risk of nominal assets within an external habit model supplemented with novel macroeconomic dynamics. Despite featuring flexible non-Gaussian fundamental processes, the model can be solved in closed-form. The estimation identifies time-varying ”demand-like” and ”supply-like” macroeconomic shocks directly linked to the risk of nominal assets. In addition to matching standard proper...

Using a large sample of accounting data for non …nancial companies in France on the period 1990-2004, the paper studies the interactions between macroeconomic shocks and companies’…nancial fragility. We consider links in both directions, namely whether …rms’bankruptcies are a¤ected by macroeconomic variables, and whether bankruptcies determine the business cycle. We estimate forecasting equatio...

Abstract—The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship among the key macroeconomic variables and Islamic stock market in India. This study is based on the time series data of financial years 2009-2015 to explore the consistency of relationship between macroeconomic variables and Shariah Indices. The ADF (Augmented Dickey–Fuller Test Statistic) and PP (Phillips–Perron Test Statist...

This study attempted to investigate the level of Bank efficiency in Ghana by using Data Envelope Analysis (DEA). The study revealed that bank efficiency in Ghana has improved after the introduction of financial sector reforms in 1988 which have led to more competitions among banks, increased financial innovation, strict regulatory regime and higher profitability. The operational, technical and ...

I combine two fields of research on default prediction by empirically testing a bankruptcy prediction function where unlisted firms are evaluated on the basis of both their financial statement analysis and the macroeconomic environment. This combination is found to improve the default prediction compared to financial statements alone. The GDP-gap, a production index and the money supply M1 in c...

Central banks and supervisory authorities regularly assess the situation in the banking sector, which is a vital element in the financial system. Two main questions are at the centre of such assessments: what is the present condition of the banking sector, and how will it evolve in the medium term? The first aim of this paper is to develop a “stress index”, summarising the current condition of ...