This article studies U.S. monthly inflation, inflation growth, and price level dynamics from January 1967 to September 2005. Two rolling samples are constructed to recover evidence about instability in inflation, inflation growth, and price level persistence and volatility. Evidence is presented that changes in inflation, inflation growth, and price level persistence and volatility coincide wit...

We reconsider the relationship between oil and conflict, focusing on location of resources. In a panel 132 countries over period 1962-2009, we show that windfalls escalate conflict in onshore-rich countries, while they de-escalate offshore-rich countries. use model to illustrate how these opposite effects can be explained by fighting capacity mechanism, whereby government offshore income increa...

Contemporary structural models of the global market for crude oil jointly specify precautionary and speculative demand shocks as a composite shock, named storage shock. We resolve this identification problem examine effects these distinct shocks, along with conventional supply on price oil. find that uncertainty driven is, average, primary driver real fluctuations have previously been associate...

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric effects of exchangerate on Iranian import price index using quarterly time series data over the period 1990- 2011. For this purpose, positive and negative shocks of the exchange rate have been separated from each other using dummy variables and the effects of the size of the exchange rate shocks by determining a threshold.The emp...