time series forecasting is an active research area that has drawn considerable attention for applications in a variety of areas. forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models. nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models which have been proposed in several past decades, it is widely recognized that financial markets are extremely difficult to ...

The use of digital information in geological fields is becoming very important. Thus, informatization in geological surveys should not stagnate as a result of the level of data accumulation. The integration and sharing of distributed, multi-source, heterogeneous geological information is an open problem in geological domains. Applications and services use geological spatial data with many featu...

Climate predictions produced by numerical climate models, often referred to as general circulation models (GCMs), suggest that by the end of the twenty-first century global mean annual surface air temperatures will increase by 1.1-6.4 degrees C. Trace gas records from ice cores indicate that atmospheric concentrations of CO2 are already higher than at any time during the last 650000 years. In t...

We present an entropic component analysis for identifying key parameters or variables and the joint effects of various parameters that characterize complex systems. This approach identifies key parameters through solving the variable selection problem. It consists of two steps. First, a Bayesian approach is utilized to convert the variable selection problem into the model selection problem. Sec...

Molecular estimates of evolutionary timescales have an important role in a range of biological studies. Such estimates can be made using methods based on molecular clocks, including models that are able to account for rate variation across lineages. All clock models share a dependence on calibrations, which enable estimates to be given in absolute time units. There are many available methods fo...

These days “estimating uncertainty” is the mantra. As we do this, we ask ourselves which is better: an array of geologically simple rapidly history-matched models, or a single geologically comprehensive, carefully history-matched model. After all, uncertainty, which is normally characterized by a range of forecasts from techniques such as Experimental Design, is difficult to quantify using just...