In this paper, we estimated the standard (macro-economic) import equation over period 1995-2021Q2, using an intensity-adjusted measure of aggregate demand (IAD) calculated from input-output tables at country level, and compared results with regressions GDP. Initially introduced by Bussière (2013), "synthetic" concept IAD was perfected, inter alia, IMF (2016) us (2017), a view to explaining "mis...

Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes. Since imports fluctuate heavily over time, they are difficult forecast and reliable leading indicators needed. Our paper introduces the first indicator growth, Import Climate. While surveys an often-used source for indicators, these data typically do not include information about expected demand of firms households. Therefore, our appro...

Based on empirical evidence from Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and Circum-Bohai-Sea region, this study applies the Input-Output (I-O) model and ArcGIS to analyze the interdependence and its dynamic evolution of the shipbuilding industry. In order to study the change cause of shipbuilding industrial structure, we decompose the I-O model to obtain the influential factors including domest...

Although the role of gold in the world economy has declined since the gold standard was abandoned, it remains important as a central bank reserve, a hedge against risks, a barometer of geopolitical uncertainty, and an input for jewelry. While portfolio demand for gold has been well studied, determinants of physical demand are less understood. Certain emerging-market countries like China and Ind...

A major characteristic of dynamic regions or sets of dynamic regions is that external exports and imports are very significant in comparison with internally generated flows. Yet, it is precisely these flows of external exports and imports that are not evaluated in conventional regional input-output (I-O) analysis. The conventional approach merely determines internal flows of intermediate inputs...