We consider the interaction between an incumbent firm and a potential entrant, and examine how this interaction is affected by demand fluctuations. Our model gives rise to procyclical entry, prices, and price-cost margins, although the average price in the market can be countercyclical if the entrant is a first mover, and capacity utilization can be either proor countercyclical if the incumbent...

This paper uses monthly price indices of 448 items of manufacturing sector in 2004:4 to 2016:01, to study the effect of exchange rate and its volatilities on price setting behavior of manufacturing sectors. Given that, many manufacturing sectors in Iran need to import raw materials, intermediate and capital goods in their production process, it is expected that exchange rate variations affect p...

In this paper we study the price dynamics in a simple model of financial markets with heterogeneous agents. We concentrate on how increases in the total number of active traders influences fluctuations of asset prices. We find that a curious route to chaos is observed when the total number of [active traders] increases. Particularly, we show that intermittent chaos [1] of price fluctuations is ...

abstract comparison of food prices in different periods, indicates fluctuations and continually upward trend. any change in agricultural sector variables, as main food supplier, will affect food price. productivity shocks and production gap are examples of such variables. in this paper ,hodrick prescott and kalman filters are used as generators of productivity shocks and production gap series. ...

S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...

We proposed an artificial market model based on deterministic agents which select their action depending on past price changes. Temporal development of market price fluctuations is calculated numerically. Probability density functions of market price changes have power tails. Autocorrelation coefficient of the changes has an anti-correlation, and autocorrelation coefficient of squared changes (...

An increasing number of retail energy markets exhibit price fluctuations and provide home users the opportunity to buy energy at lower than average prices. However, such cost savings are hard to realize in practice because they require human users to observe the price fluctuations and shift their electricity demand to low price periods. We propose to temporarily store energy of low price period...

raisin is the second major export item in iranian agricultural section after pistachio. in this study, effects of exchange rate fluctuations were investigated on quantity and price of exported raisin. therefore, data of 1970 to 2008 were reviewed by time series analysis and estimated by auto-regressive distributed lag model (ardl). results show the absence of a long-term relationship between ex...

In natural gas markets, demand exhibits low price elasticity, while supply follows the market price; a phenomenon typically observed in markets for indispensable goods. A significant portion of gas consumption is due to heating and increasingly power generation, which sets a typical demand pattern: high in winter and summer ('high' seasons) and low in shoulder months ('low' seasons). Thus, the ...

Price forecasting is an integral part of economic decision making. Forecasts may be used in numerous ways; specifically, individuals may use forecasts to try to earn income from speculative activities, to determine optimal government policies or to make business decisions. The importance of this topic is caused by instability in the world economy and stock markets; there is a growing interest i...